FallsLake

Yeah, that Greensboro to Roxboro zone seems to always be in the action. **center of the CAD.

Get a window unit. Put it in your bedroom window so you can at least be cool while you sleep. And it's always good to have a backup system in case (when) your new central air has problems in the future.

^^Some of those shots are good enough to hang on a wall.

Future meteorologist in the making.

Nice! Going from reading about others getting snow to being one of the snowiest on the board.

For the Triangle you're in a good spot. The Wake County split has been in full affect the last three years. I've done good at my location whereas folks south and east of Raleigh have missed out on most of the storms. You would have to think the luck will change soon and NC get a big coastal plain special; but who knows...

There's always a chance a big storm could hit, but statistically not likely. Many (many) years back I took a trip with my parents to Colorado. It was early September and it was great; right before all the trees started changing colors and the cold took over. Drove up to Pikes Peak and traveled through the high elevation areas west of Colorado Springs (..Cripple Creek area). Later in life my wife and I camped in the Rocky Mountains National Park; but funny that was in July and we had a great time then as well. So basically I wouldn't worry about the weather. I would go when it best fits your time and budget.

Man it is a soupy day. Luckily the sun didn't come out or it would have got hot. But, big changes are coming during the next 24 hours. From RAH: Excellent radiational cooling will result Mon night with the center of the incoming, strengthening high forecast to be directly overhead at 12Z Tue. And skies will be clear, aside from perhaps some increase in thin cirrus possible around daybreak. Forecast low level thickness values in the 1335-1345 meter range favors with excellent radiational cooling potential favors temperatures in the mid 30s to around 40 degrees, down a category or two from previous forecasts and very similar to the preferred MET and EC statistical guidance. Some of the colder EC ensemble solutions even support a light freeze at the typically colder sites. A Frost Advisory will need to be considered later tonight and/or Mon.

my backyard is a river. Sitting at 3.48" since late yesterday. Over 2" in the last 5 hours.

Had another good storm this morning. Have ~1.15" since yesterday. I really enjoy seeing all this pollen get washed away.

That's great! It's going to be nice to get you back to the area; and to have you as a RDU person. You know this area well, we can score big and bust big.

Yep, maybe we see something: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Raleigh NC 919 AM EDT TUE APR 2 2019 NCZ008-022>025-039>041-074>077-084>086-088-021415- Guilford NC-Hoke NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC-Wake NC-Moore NC- Montgomery NC-Granville NC-Cumberland NC-Scotland NC-Richmond NC- Lee NC-Chatham NC-Randolph NC-Harnett NC-Orange NC- 919 AM EDT TUE APR 2 2019 ...Mix of rain, snow, and a little sleet expected over portions of the Sandhills and Piedmont through mid morning... An area of mixed rain, snow, and a little sleet will track northward through the Sandhills and central Piedmont through 1030 AM. In areas where the precipitation becomes briefly heavy, a switch to mostly snow is possible, and a light dusting can`t be ruled out. However, due to the warm ground, any accumulation will quickly melt, leaving the pavement just wet. Precipitation is expected to become just rain by late morning. Some briefly moderate to heavy rainfall is possible through this afternoon. Locations impacted include... Southern Pines, Raleigh, Greensboro, Durham, Cary, High Point, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Sanford, Asheboro and Graham. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists should use extra caution and slow down when driving through heavy precipitation. && LAT...LON 3618 7865 3579 7848 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7870 3549 7867 3525 7882 3495 7931 3504 7984 3542 8001 3586 7999 3618 7964 TIME...MOT...LOC 1313Z 199DEG 24KT 3522 7927 $$ GIH

This is for eyewall:

Our problem is we're too far north (sometimes it bites both ways). The sun is strong this time of year, even through the clouds. Southern Wake, Chatham, and maybe right into Raleigh have a shot. I guess we do to but it'll be close.

Just looking at radar and location, Sanford should be in a good place right now. Any folks from that area??

RDU got down to 31 this morning. As stated before, each freeze we get this time of year could be the last until fall.

But you're still in a good spot. This was just posted from RAH: SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 640 AM EDT Tue Apr 2 2019 NCZ073>077-083>086-088-021300- STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- CUMBERLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ALBEMARLE, PLYLER, TROY, BISCOE, MOUNT GILEAD, PEKIN, BADIN LAKE, ELDORADO, SOUTHERN PINES, PINEHURST, ABERDEEN, EAGLE SPRINGS, SEVEN LAKES, CUMNOCK, GUM SPRINGS, SANFORD, TRAMWAY, DUNN, ANDERSON CREEK, TIMBERLAKE, DUNCAN, ERWIN, ANGIER, LILLINGTON, WADESBORO, POLKTON, ROCKINGHAM, HAMLET, EAST ROCKINGHAM, LAUREL HILL, LAURINBURG, ANTIOCH, ASHLEY HEIGHTS, RAEFORD, ROCKFISH, SILVER CITY, FAYETTEVILLE, AND FORT BRAGG 640 AM EDT Tue Apr 2 2019 ...WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY THROUGH 9 AM ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS... As precipitation moves into central North Carolina from the south early this morning, the presence of cold dry air at the surface will lead to a wintry mix of rain and snow. During instances of heavier precipitation, the mixture may temporarily change to heavy wet snow. While little if any impacts are expected from the wintry mix, where the bursts of heavy wet snow occurs, the snow may briefly stick to grassy surfaces before melting.

Very hard to get April snow outside the mountains. (usually) You need the perfect setup with precip falling at night or early morning. But (like in our case) you need the night to be clear to cool the air down towards freezing. So early morning precip is the key. RAH states we have until ~10 to see any mix. For RDU folks, precip will overspread southern Wake County first and this may be the prim place to see a few flakes.

Too bad I can't get the precip now. Sitting at 30.7 degrees.

Most definitely do not take it seriously. Just something to track. If what the euro or the earlier ICON runs have the right look there could be some mountain snows.

Lol..the 18z FV3 says Orangeburg could be a little too far NW to get snow (south GA, coastal SC, & SE NC).

Man the 18z GFS is close to something big. Knowing our luck, we'll get the perfect setup but nothing wintery (like the November storm). Just too late in the year.

The 12z ICON has joined the euro on showing a significant elevation (mountains/foothills) winter storm. It also shows your area getting some snow. The 12z FV3 continues to show a wintery mix for areas farther east; and now the 12z GFS is starting to show something. Bets still on the euro and now the ICON. Main reason is time of year (climatology). Still very reasonable to get mountain snows; whereas other areas it's very rare.

I absolutely agree.

Here's a euro link: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/north-carolina/significant-weather/20190328-2200z.html