FallsLake

Here's a good link of weather hazards from NOAA (...quick catch all): https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=cf93575e5535467199da7358ee6c825c

Happy Summer Solstice everybody! Good news: The length of daylight will now start to shorten with each passing day. Bad news: It will continue to warm for about another month. **we have to reach equilibrium.

You'll eventually get some rain if the models are even half right.

Finally!!! 1.02" at the house. Had a heavy downpour with some nice wind gust. The monkey is off the back...

Don't want the severe weather, but would love to see the better rain coverage folks to our SW are currently getting.

Looks like we get more chances for rain starting this Wednesday. Most of the models show ~ 1-2" during the next week. LR models show the possibility of some cool days here and there (..big variations of when). Any cool days we get this time of year should be treasured.

Bad for the hail, great for the rain. I feel lucky to have the .09" from the first band. Really hoping for a little more with the second band.

We're at such an extreme that something has to give. Even going to normal or slightly above would be a win right now. **but the 12z models continue to show the cool down starting this weekend.

Long range models do show the extreme heat being knocked back starting this weekend. Even some dew points in the 40s in the extended. Hopefully that holds....

Grid forecast has me at 98 next Wednesday. And just think, in three months from now it will still be only August. This is going to be a long summer.....

We definitely had the AO negative but the NAO kept to its recent history and stayed mostly positive. We even had the PNA go negative for the month of February (which it had been the one thing we could count on). But (I agree), I also heard folks blame the MJO.

If we had the current/forecasted indices during the winter, we'd be in business. +PNA, -NAO, and -AO. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml I suppose it can still help keep troughs in the east (..which is forecasted), but the farther into spring we get the less south they can push.

Yeah, that Greensboro to Roxboro zone seems to always be in the action. **center of the CAD.

Get a window unit. Put it in your bedroom window so you can at least be cool while you sleep. And it's always good to have a backup system in case (when) your new central air has problems in the future.

Nice! Going from reading about others getting snow to being one of the snowiest on the board.

For the Triangle you're in a good spot. The Wake County split has been in full affect the last three years. I've done good at my location whereas folks south and east of Raleigh have missed out on most of the storms. You would have to think the luck will change soon and NC get a big coastal plain special; but who knows...

There's always a chance a big storm could hit, but statistically not likely. Many (many) years back I took a trip with my parents to Colorado. It was early September and it was great; right before all the trees started changing colors and the cold took over. Drove up to Pikes Peak and traveled through the high elevation areas west of Colorado Springs (..Cripple Creek area). Later in life my wife and I camped in the Rocky Mountains National Park; but funny that was in July and we had a great time then as well. So basically I wouldn't worry about the weather. I would go when it best fits your time and budget.

That's great! It's going to be nice to get you back to the area; and to have you as a RDU person. You know this area well, we can score big and bust big.

Most definitely do not take it seriously. Just something to track. If what the euro or the earlier ICON runs have the right look there could be some mountain snows.

Lol..the 18z FV3 says Orangeburg could be a little too far NW to get snow (south GA, coastal SC, & SE NC).

Man the 18z GFS is close to something big. Knowing our luck, we'll get the perfect setup but nothing wintery (like the November storm). Just too late in the year.

The 12z ICON has joined the euro on showing a significant elevation (mountains/foothills) winter storm. It also shows your area getting some snow. The 12z FV3 continues to show a wintery mix for areas farther east; and now the 12z GFS is starting to show something. Bets still on the euro and now the ICON. Main reason is time of year (climatology). Still very reasonable to get mountain snows; whereas other areas it's very rare.

I absolutely agree.

Here's a euro link: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/north-carolina/significant-weather/20190328-2200z.html

Euro is more of a mountains/foothills event. Mack would actually get a little sleet before things shifted northward into the higher elevations of NC and VA. Of course we would like to see the FV3 verify but I would put my bets on the euro.