FallsLake

I am really sorry to hear this. I met him once at a SE weather meeting. He was a really nice person. It would be great to get a big snow this year in his memory.

My wife inherited a home in Boone. We're starting to remodel it. Couple of weekends back we were up there and took the kids sledding up on Beech Mountain. Had to go through Banner Elk and there was 4-5" of snow on the ground. Once we got up to Beech it was close to 10". Winds were gusting over 30 mph and the temp was 17. True blizzard. Elevation really makes a difference.

Yep, that low is giving us unusually cool temps and blocking the warmth to our west. May can be a funny month; it can be cool/cold or summer hot. I prefer the cool/cold for right now. As we all know, summer hot will take over for good in the upcoming weeks.

Yeah the northwest is a crazy place (talking weather). For places like Portland and Seattle 90% of the summer doesn't require AC; but when you do need it, you really need it.

That was a fun storm for everybody north and west of Raleigh. I remember sweating the transition line as it wavered back and forth in southern Wake county. Hopefully this next storm trends just a little colder putting more in play. Many model runs from now to "go time".

Hey Mack, You know the upstate will now get an epic two footer this winter.

I did two years as well (Bitburg AB - near Luxembourg boarder). Saw one good snow, and then afterwards the storms reminded me of NC winter storms; all mixed bag events. But as you stated, the cool summers were very nice. Our barracks didn't have AC and there were only a few days a years were it got really hot.

I hear you. Part of my criteria for a good winter storm is how it affects the roads (or power lines). Years back we had a <1" (mid-day) event that stuck right to the roads and caused havoc. I consider that a great event. Other times we received >3" but it never stuck to the roads (forgettable).

Yep, it will be interesting (in a bad way) to see if we get blanked. **only thing I keep thinking about is with a warm winter, do we flip to a cold spring. If so, we could score an overnight event in March that at least gives an accumulating event.

Yeah this is terrible. What gets me is the PNA, AO, and NAO have all been bad. AO might get to record positive readings for the winter. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml I guess we can be happy for the folks out west. Plenty of mountain snows to give them good runoff during the growing season. Cheap produce for us this summer...

Just waiting to see if this ends up being the worst winter ever for my location (for the past 30 years). So far this year I've only seen some light sleet with a few slushy snow flakes (no accumulation). 2012 is number one (worse year) right now. This was the only event:

Why spend the money, in a few months we'll all be baking in the tropical heat and humidity here.

It's not over yet. We've been lucky and have had at least one good storm the last few years. Not looking good right now but we still have time for things to change. Maybe mid February into the first week of March we'll get that storm.

You need to be posting this at koreawx.com/banter.

There's cold up in western Canada. I think we'll get our chances in February. Indices don't look good going out two weeks. PNA will be strongly negative, AO and NAO positive. Again you would expect/hope that they then start to swing in the right direct afterwards (...three weeks?).

You really don't want to look at the CFS. But, if you do (day 24 2m temp anomaly): https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cfs&p=sfct_anom&rh=2019123112&fh=564&r=na&dpdt=&mc=

It's good to have you back! You still in Apex?

Yep, we had a Halloween storm (..at least I did) and then the cold first 2/3 of November. It flipped warm in December and now is having a hard time flipping back cold. Sometimes Fab February can save us, but no guarantees.....

Merry Christmas everybody!! I hope you all have happiness and good health for the new year. And we all score a big dog storm......

Of course I'll always wish for wintery precip over any other weather feature, but I would love to see an old fashion Siberian Express arctic airmass. We had the one a couple of years back but nothing really substantial last year. I love sunny days below freezing and seeing the lake freeze over.

Man, the CFS says we could be in for a wild ride the next few weeks. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cfs&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2019120500&fh=12&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Start from beginning and go to the end. Lots of potential storms (especially for central NC northward).

Funny/interesting what RAH said in their Short Term discussion last night: .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 215 AM Wednesday... 1035+ mb surface high pressure is expected to build across the eastern states from Ontario and the Great Lakes states Thursday and Thursday night. CAA will send the temperatures below normal for Thursday and Thursday night. Expect highs 5-10 degrees below normal with highs most likely skewed toward the colder MET/EC statistical guidance. The GFS appears too warm. Expect mostly mid to upper 50s north and lower 60s south with mostly sunny skies. Expect mainly clear and cold conditions Thursday night with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Throw out the GFS MOS! It is too warm, again. &&

Just hoping they hold off until after 8pm. WRAL is concerned about pop-up storms before the main band.

Unfortunately, somebody is going to get the strong storms during the prime trick or treating time. Being selfish for the RDU area, it looks like we may be good with the main band coming in closer to mid-night (per current models and what B.Panovich stated above). WRAL also seems to think this will be the scenario, but RAH is much more vague and even has "Likely" precip starting at ~6pm for my grid location.

That's truly sad. It seems there have been a lot more deaths this year attributed to rip currents.