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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Not terrible at face value, nice scene of snow falling and over 3" OTG here. Not 6+ but maybe I grab 1-3" this afternoon/evening.
  2. Same, hr 90 is a nice look. Much less of a disorganized mess.
  3. The adage really is true, you want to ride the mix line a bit and then use your geography to your advantage. When its all snow 50-100 miles south of you, theres the distinct chance you're caught in subsidence or lighter rates.
  4. Don't forget that is retro to 7am today, so it shows some QPF that has already fallen or was modeled to fall.
  5. Not terribly different, but baja s/w is held back a bit more. Worth staying tuned.
  6. You said it well, the corridor along 70 east of the Catoctins up through Westminster proper and across to say Hunt Valley and north have been the worst off relative to their averages. Even in my area, the November storm was rain/snow mix 3 miles from me, 1" a couple streets down, but 2.5" up here at 900ft.
  7. I'd agree with this very much. That's its actual purpose. It's a mesoscale focused model thru and thru.
  8. Anyone that entrusts in the long range HRRR doesn't see what its capable of in the convective season. I've seen it wrong by a lot at hour 3
  9. Yeah, it actually has decent sim rad echoes and our h5 vort looks healthy.
  10. If anyone is wondering why the north crew has gotten the shaft the last 6 years, your answer is right here...
  11. It really is true, especially given the changes in our climo we have seen. I obviously had a big difference going from Baltimore to Westminster near McDaniel. But with recent climo, my 2021 move to Carroll Valley/Ski Liberty area has already shown a big difference. 2 warning level storms (6" & 5.5") while in one Westminster had a dusting. Its all about the long game.
  12. I saw this, hope its right. Please? ULL's can be boom or bust sometimes, but if we got precip to fire and get over us, I'd like our chances to get some 15-20:1 type fluff.
  13. I know the wife does after them being gone for 10 days. 3” or so here, 21 degrees.
  14. Mostly rain from what I've heard
  15. Where is @Ka60 to give us a report?
  16. Pen Mar or Rouzerville? I haven't measured yet, eyeballing a bit over 2.5".
  17. Don’t know if you’re being sarcastic I glanced at it for a sec and the thump through the morning didn’t really do much north of i70.
  18. Is it just me or is the latest hrrr way south?
  19. I can’t pull it up right now, could you share latest RAP? Family is back after a 9 day trip to FL.
  20. As modeled, BWI’s #1 storm on record PHL maybe as well.
  21. Sweet lord Jesus. What some of us would pay for the GFS verbatim to occur late week…
  22. The meme didn’t load for me at first and I was already gearing up to tag @ravensrule
  23. Good bit back north on the 3km NAM. Big totals M/D line folks to NoVA.
  24. Thankfully that has nothing to do with what he’s actually saying I’ll take the 20 miles though, even our modern models can give us that right?
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