DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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For shits and gigs show us the full run total
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I’d rather it not run at all then shit on our heads.
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Don’t tell Blair Walsh that. And we do have a Viking fan here…
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We have PTSD, a lot of trauma for many of us depending on storm/storm chance since 2016. MBY had one big one in 2021 that was localized but for the most part my kids have never seen a storm over 6”
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If the euro shows an area wide 8-12 here in a few I’ll be ecstatic. The model has a history of trashing our fun and shitting in the punch bowl like no other.
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Well that’s you, speak for yourself. It’s like @Bob Chill says, you don’t get the opportunity much…so when it comes you try and make the most. If I get 8” imby I’ll be thrilled, but I’d take 20 if it was possible within reason.
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You know you have the upside of something out of the KU book when they show up. Need to see it for it to be possible!
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I hope the euro crashes the mf server in a few
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I’d kill for a repeat of one of them!
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I have three children, I would perhaps give a nut to make that UK run come to fruition. Or the CMC’s 18” blizzard too.
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The ggem and uk just went ballistic. The big ones do lock in early…we def don’t want to peak 132 hrs out.
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Lotta random energy on UK, that other models don’t have in a similar fashion. Don’t hate that it still brings us snow, south of 0z amped run.
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Good point, to be honest the Canadian showed a “middle ground” outcome. Could’ve been a HECS in all honesty lol. Just another model run but damn.
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No it doesn’t
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It’s a folks run, stop giving us this explanation for a d6 run. Might not be anywhere close to what happens, but it’s a folks and a half. I’m gooning over it as we speak
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Randy, if that’s not a folks, you need psychiatric intervention.
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I’ve been reading and interpreting model runs for 15 years, this isn’t textbook for us in many ways. That said, can still score a decent event with a singular stream wave and some tapping of gulf moisture.
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There’s the option that things come out, and a phase doesn’t happen. Could still give us love, but wouldn’t be the bomb. to be honest, a setup like this…I think we have to be a bit greedy to make up for the misses we’ve had since 2016 in some areas.
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Who used to do our pbp back when it used to snow, like 2009-10, 2013-16 years? JFC
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What’s the obsession with storm threads? The grown adults can handle being focused on a storm during a real window. Mods will be tightening early if this looks legit.
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My goodness.. all time record low in DC if it happened
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I love where we are at this juncture. The cold is almost always slightly over modeled at range. The only true way we get completely burned in this is congrats Carolina’s. I’d take a low that travels up to WV knowing with this antecedent airmass and wedge we’d lay down 6-12” in thumping fashion over to some high impact sleet/zr if that’s what it came to. Let’s reel this one in.
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We need this one, love what the AI’s are spitting out and their consistency. They’ve performed quite well lately, so to see where they sit at this juncture can’t be bad. Like seeing the UKMET join them. I’d argue that model does really well at these leads at showing a solution that is close to actual sometimes…before it bounces around like a pinball machine.
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GEFS looks like it should be solid.
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Damn right. It’s a dart board at this juncture anyways.
