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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Don't read Tip's post for your own sanity. Unfortunately, makes too much sense.
  2. SouthCoastMA
    I went back starting at the 12z run on 11/27..and the Euro actually was pretty close with the track. However, thermals and storm intensity, especially between 11/28-11/30 were way off. Not sure why it would do well with the track and suck at everything else. Going to be a fun winter.
  3. SouthCoastMA
    I was tempted to post about it, but you have it covered. I'll just pretend I didn't see that abomination and look again tomorrow.
  4. SouthCoastMA
    2cm
  5. SouthCoastMA
    I think Dick Albert retired. Edit: RIP
  6. SouthCoastMA
    I would easily trade any snow before 12/21 if it meant we get some snow around the holidays. I usually punt most of December, especially after the last several years. Its all about the SST's here, unless you have a frigid antecedent airmass in place or a perfect thread the needle situation.
  7. SouthCoastMA
    The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know.
  8. SouthCoastMA
    Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher.
  9. SouthCoastMA
    EPS have them too. The 10th in particular looks interesting
  10. SouthCoastMA
    Euro op has chances on 6th, 10th, 11th. Maybe we can cash in on one of those
  11. SouthCoastMA
    We've seen this scenario time and again the past several winters. The euro being the coldest solution/outlier 3-4 days out then slowly trends to other guidance, It could be anecdotal but just seems to have a cold bias up here in that mid range. In the past it wouldn't budge much while the other models trend much colder. Its just my perception, and may not reflect its overall ability, or even reality.
  12. SouthCoastMA
    Giving weenies to King weenie can be redundant. You need to earn your place in the weenie hall of fame first before you get a pass
  13. SouthCoastMA
    Yeah looked a bit better with those clippers post 12/8
  14. SouthCoastMA
    After tomorrow..looks like everything is put through the confluence shredder through early next week? maybe some flurries
  15. SouthCoastMA
    NAM shows has boob lows, so the euro might have had that aspect right. Otherwise it has sucked in the 48-96 hour range
  16. SouthCoastMA
    It's more like this
  17. SouthCoastMA
    looking more and more meh outside of ineedsnow/hubbdave land
  18. SouthCoastMA
    Realism. Something trackable by 12/6 is still fairly early down here, aside from the locales getting hit tomorrow (ineedsnow/hubbdave/ray, etc).
  19. SouthCoastMA
    You'll also be rooting for storms that hook in but stay just outside the benchmark. That's our sweet spot
  20. SouthCoastMA
    Where the purple starts on the SE side is where the accumulation begins imo. Don't doubt someone could see 6" within that area though, further inland caveat of euro being correct
  21. SouthCoastMA
    yes, a few of those intense Euro runs from 11/28 may have pulled it off even close to the coast.
  22. SouthCoastMA
    The subplot of Tblizz vs George is what I'm here for. Not expecting a flake here. Too bad the euro is the coldest model again. I feel like it's been prone to that in recent years, even if it ends up as a compromise. JAM
  23. SouthCoastMA
    The euro has caved a bunch the last few years, it's not the old King. Hope it's right though
  24. SouthCoastMA
    thru 60 does look a bit flatter
  25. SouthCoastMA
    Kinda need a deep system to get the rates. More of a thread the needle situation, but still super early here to expect anything.
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