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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Stop the count! Hopefully the North trend stops today. I take comfort in the general bias of models to overdo phasing and make systems more progressive lately. Not sure if that rule of thumb will hold with the pattern change
  2. olafminesaw
    6z Euro a touch colder. Massive run for the Northern half of NC
  3. olafminesaw
    Just look at the trend on the GFS. I feel confident sleet will cut into our totals, at least somewhat. However, with the trend towards slower/amplification/the breaking down of the HP, QPF has increased as well. I certainly wouldn't complain about 8" of snow and an inch of sleet on top
  4. olafminesaw
    The EPS is a bit wetter and warmer, but no big changes. Jackpot zone Northern NC/the southern half of VA
  5. olafminesaw
    I think it depends on the algorithm, pivotal seems to count ice as snow on the snow depth, so I would use Kuchera.
  6. olafminesaw
    GEFS a bit south, big picture comparison
  7. olafminesaw
    Seems to be delayed with the primary impulse which has been the trend lately. I think it's going to be a good run for many
  8. olafminesaw
    Yeah a bit north/weaker HP on the GFS so far
  9. olafminesaw
    Icon jumps south of 12z
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    The glacier will hang around until Easter
  12. olafminesaw
    Just textbook
  13. olafminesaw
    All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010
  14. olafminesaw
    Let the south bleed begin only to swing back north and crush us all in the last 48 hours
  15. olafminesaw
    Seems like half the social media weather community is people from the Northeast who will defend any model that shows what they want to see
  16. olafminesaw
    Seems to be running now
  17. olafminesaw
    WPC likes the southerly track
  18. olafminesaw
    You're in a great spot for this one!
  19. olafminesaw
    That run very reminiscent of the January 2022 storm in terms of the wedge
  20. olafminesaw
  21. olafminesaw
    GFS
  22. olafminesaw
    Euro trends WRT the ridge
  23. olafminesaw
    OP GFS pushing the HP further south this run. Not going to be an amped solution for sure
  24. olafminesaw
    Huge jump south of 6z
  25. olafminesaw
    Icon jumped north, more Euro-like. I tend to think of the AI models as predictive of a way to show the most likely direction the OP models will trend. I would tend to think significant snowfall is much more likely North of Charlotte
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