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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. The HRRR does seem to have a good handle on the sleet line right now and pushes it back south in an hour or two. A possiblity anyway, not sure that I would expect it
  2. Something I never thought about, why do the obs often include mist while snow is falling? Like GSO obs currently read "light snow, mist". Is this to do with the visibility?
  3. Only at 31 at 1 pm, I seriously doubt we hit close to our forecast high of 37 today!
  4. GRAF is the same https://x.com/Daniel_Bonds/status/1877671619683848519
  5. HRRR holds steady. The sleet fluctuates back and forth over Guilford county for the second half of the storm
  6. There really aren't any models showing precip before around 5pm, but also these overrunning events tend to start 2-3 hours earlier than modeled (at least as far as light flurry action goes)
  7. RAH has onset much later than many of the news outlets which are saying 12-3. I am guessing somewhere in between, around 4ish for the triad.
  8. Those generally come with the changeover, so you should get them eventually
  9. Snow being reported well south of Atlanta. Meanwhile the NAM...(Which had onset a few hours later)
  10. HRRR has the sleet line push north quite early but then gets pushed back south when the heavier rates arrive
  11. It's okay, gotta watch for cavities but throwing back a few apple juices with the boys never hurt anyone
  12. I gotta say, having moved here from the DC metro, it feels odd getting a winter storm warning for 2-3" of snow!
  13. It's a game of inches! (Or miles anyway) VA line Archdale Asheboro Greensboro
  14. Even accounting for the NAM being too far north I would be a bit concerned that this is what it's showing not too long after onset in the triad Weenie phase 2 is here,just 30 minutes later!
  15. Illustrates the expression ,where you can smell the sleet line is where the heaviest snowfall occurs
  16. Very reminiscent of 2022. Although that was more like .75"+ of QPF IIRC
  17. Sleet line moving north as expected, but not before dropping solid snow totals for most
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