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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Neat to see the trough highlighted by the smoke on visible
  2. olafminesaw
    Wow! Frisco pier water temp is currently 69 degrees. Average is 76 and lowest in the POR of 1981-2005 is 73 (per surf-fotecast.com)
  3. olafminesaw
    Just a little 26 degree difference between models 3 days out
  4. olafminesaw
    Seems a little suspect, could get almost chilly this Thursday
  5. olafminesaw
    If you guessed the following, your entry has a duplicate value with another entry(at least as far as I managed to not fat finger in excel): 11/5/2 (3x), 12/5/2, 13/5/1, 13/5/2, 15/7/3, 16/5/2, 16/7/4
  6. olafminesaw
    With pressure outside the circulation being unusually low, around 1008mb, there's not much of a gradient.
  7. olafminesaw
    Looks like the warmest it's going to get in Greensboro, in the month of May is 84 degrees (happened to also be 84 in April/March as well weirdly enough.) This is the coolest May by this metric since 1983. Less remarkable in terms of average temp, only a couple degrees below average
  8. olafminesaw
    I just want one official forecast discussion to refer to weather conditions as "a vibe", lol
  9. olafminesaw
    Looks like it's trying to complete the most seamless erc in the history of mab
  10. olafminesaw
    This is from yesterday.
  11. olafminesaw
  12. olafminesaw
    Plenty of banding per microwave. I was thinking that annular cyclones have a somewhat lower intensity ceiling?
  13. olafminesaw
  14. olafminesaw
    A second RI phase occuring.These, 8 hours apart:
  15. olafminesaw
    https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=WP02
  16. olafminesaw
    I think it completed a few hours ago, but it ingested a ton of dry air in the process. This has caused a lopsided eye and a weakness on the north side of the storm. It seem to be starting to mix out the dry air and wrap convection around the eye, as the structure stabilizes. Weakening should at least stop before reaching Guam, and has a chance at re-intensification before landfall.
  17. olafminesaw
    Really starting to look like an EWRC may save Guam from a cat 5 impact. Barring a meld or quick completion, neither of which are especially likely
  18. olafminesaw
    For being such a tiny target, Guam is one of the most high end hurricane prone population centers in the world. They get a direct major hurricane strike about every 20 years or so. They'll be fine structurally, it's more a concern of life after the storm being difficult for weeks if not months after.
  19. olafminesaw
    Looking increasingly likely that this system will bring soaking rain to the Carolinas. I for one welcome the moisture. May see some isolated flooding, especially in the Eastern mountains/escarpment
  20. olafminesaw
    Looks like it will be rolling through pretty late anyway and looks like the type to weaken past the mountains, especially with limited destabilization during the day.
  21. olafminesaw
    Maybe some slightly spicy weather tomorrow. Anything to break the monotony (although I confess, it has been rather nice)
  22. olafminesaw
    7/3/2
  23. olafminesaw
    watch out Myanmar
  24. olafminesaw
    That's kinda stupid at like peak severe season. Not that there's anything significant on the horizon thankfully.
  25. olafminesaw
    Wowee, that's a lotta snow for the UP
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