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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. I used to work for a company that does snow removal and they said the 4" of compacted snow+sleet in 2022 was harder to deal with than the foot of snow we got in 2018. Schools will be closed for a solid week in many places
  2. Stop the count! Hopefully the North trend stops today. I take comfort in the general bias of models to overdo phasing and make systems more progressive lately. Not sure if that rule of thumb will hold with the pattern change
  3. 6z Euro a touch colder. Massive run for the Northern half of NC
  4. Just look at the trend on the GFS. I feel confident sleet will cut into our totals, at least somewhat. However, with the trend towards slower/amplification/the breaking down of the HP, QPF has increased as well. I certainly wouldn't complain about 8" of snow and an inch of sleet on top
  5. The EPS is a bit wetter and warmer, but no big changes. Jackpot zone Northern NC/the southern half of VA
  6. I think it depends on the algorithm, pivotal seems to count ice as snow on the snow depth, so I would use Kuchera.
  7. Seems to be delayed with the primary impulse which has been the trend lately. I think it's going to be a good run for many
  8. Yeah a bit north/weaker HP on the GFS so far
  9. The glacier will hang around until Easter
  10. All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010
  11. Let the south bleed begin only to swing back north and crush us all in the last 48 hours
  12. Seems like half the social media weather community is people from the Northeast who will defend any model that shows what they want to see
  13. That run very reminiscent of the January 2022 storm in terms of the wedge
  14. OP GFS pushing the HP further south this run. Not going to be an amped solution for sure
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