olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Inconclusive indicies related to those periods, not really what I would expect. Could be obscured in the period by a short period of chance on the indicies, which is not reflected in February's average. I also wonder how rare it is to get +PNA, -NAO, -AO in a la Nina year. We probably don't have a very good analog pattern. 2009 AO -, PNA -, NAO neutral 1996 AO neutral , PNA -, NAO neutral 1989 AO +, PNA -, NAO positive
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Does anyone have any examples of big snow storms in late February in a LA Nina year?
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Decent icing in Stokesdale. More significant ice higher up in the trees, probably as much as .25
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You know what, that was a bit much, removed it
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Brick couldn't quite reel in the brick storm to everyone's satisfaction, this one is all Barney, work your magic anthropomorphized dinosaur
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Gets actual cold, holds back energy...story of this winter
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Wherever temps get locked in at or below 29 degrees, high ice totals will occur. All depends on temps at onset
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Usually I like the NAM and RGEM, which indivicates borderline temps for ZR. Really rare to get the temp to drop once precip moves in. 6z models generally took a step warmer
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Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone?
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Euro and GFS also have it FWIW
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Worth watching for some sleet N of 85
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Not really concerned about ice. Dew points a few hours before onset are nowhere near what you typically see, even in VA.
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Seems colder but also a bit further North. There's some hope for a little light snow/sleet with the leading edge north of 40 if you are to believe GFS trends. Just can't cave to the Euro for that to be possible though
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6z Euro hasn't bumped south at all, I'm not really buying the GFS ice possible North of the VA border for sure though
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Doesn't really scream significant ice
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At least a week of depressing weather goes a lot faster than a week of anxiously refreshing model runs
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Greensboro has not had above average snowfall/more than 2" of snow in February in ten years
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Row row row your boats
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I'll just be checking the Cascaded webcams instead of the models...
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Canadian also has two back to back storms, the first ice, the second snow
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LA Nina starting to flex it's muscles it seems. Makes it much harder to keep storms from cutting. Trends have been positive overnight though, so still watching
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