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Typhoon Tip

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Typhoon Tip

  1. Okay ...I know - You're talking about the experience of weather - no argument. No argument. The Meteorology metrical aspects are noteworthy and thus preclude the run-of-the-mill aspect. That said, if it make 98/72 anywhere, the experience is rare - not arguable. Sorry. And 27 C at 925 has an adiabat arrival to 35 C at the bottom - btw. That does not even include explosive parcel release in the 2 meter, which adds a couple C typically to the slope temp; that number. 37 C =~ 98 So I'm not sure I agree with just that piece of your claim -
  2. In the last 2 innings I have not seen one call or act of motion not end up in favor of the Sox. I've liked baseball for the better part of 25 years. I am not an every game and pitch within fanatic, no - but I am usually aware of standings and who won - and do watch a lot of innings over the course of a season. So tfwiw - I have never seen a Yankees team be this ineffectual against a Sox team - and the 'early in the season' mantra is losing footing as we near the 4th because mid season .
  3. Heat just doesn't stroke every awe-boner in this weather-related interest/social media. For others, purely from a Meteorological perspective and interest ...that ( bold abv) is interesting. that's the difference. Some Mets and hobbyists may get into this sort of thing; others do not. But for those that do not, the semantic attempt at spinning it less because the conversation is petty-annoying ...tough shit I guess. Whatever -
  4. my Apple smart phone is unrelenting ... I have indicated negative, yet it keeps posting me to install a free app with the ability inform me when/if I have been exposed to COVID. This is what drives intelligent folk to distraction .. a distraction where's harms public/social/economic trust - - cloaked in deception of protecting you? If some app can warn you, it in fact also knows where YOU are, and probably infers what you are doing - perhaps the real intent. The only thing that got rid of it was allowing the occasional OS upgrade run - we'll see if it pops up again. The odd thing, it's like humanity - industrial world - kinda needs something like that ? It does. It's scary to have to admit, but part of the darkness of humanity isn't any over arcing agency's social engineering ploys. It is that realistically, there is a ballast of population, en masse, now big enough to bring it all down. These cannot be reached with reason and logic; their fu'ked up lunacy and etho-chambered shit for brains actions ugh Talks about society arriving between a rock and hard place. I don't wanna be monitored, but I also don't wanna be a casualty of some intrinsic or endemic threat to civility, either.
  5. Mmm we may wanna look up and test that - I 'think' this was mentioned as nearing a historic ridge in terms of heights - that would by definition preclude the "every summer" assumption
  6. Who cares about the 4th ... god, there's a potentially life threatening event getting started like now - But I know.. No one takes heat seriously - fine. whatever. The nexus of cumulative thermal storing with residual supportive synoptics doesn't really occur until Tuesday 18z ( ~ ), despite the non-hydrostatic dome on the charts maximizing in the Y and X coordinate dimensions roughly 00z tomorrow evening. Tuesday morning, in fact, I wonder if elevated/record high-minimums may be in trouble that dawn. Light west wind over, through a landscape bathed the previous day in insolation will help maintain fully thermally charged hydrostatic thickness, in a situation where the initial conditional potential are huge in that regard. This should reflect in temperature stalls at exceptionally high values - even relative to heat wave climo for our area of the country. The over-arcing synoptic ordeal's significance ( I believe ) may be eclipsed by the Portland specter. We are approaching 600 dam just S of LI. One can only imagine what would be if Sonoran heat injection got caught up inside this thing - Anyway I could see Logan and LGA not falling below 84 F, perhaps not 90 until 1 or 2 am. interesting.
  7. It could be that simple - snark aside. Lol, words to the affect of, "...Exhibiting methods of propulsion and acceleration 'unworldly' beyond the technological and/or scientific capabilities of the U.S. or its allies, or adversaries. ..." Egads! What does one do with a statement like that - Truth be told ... despite the evocative use of the word 'unworldly' ... ( which I am not really sure that is in the report - I should probably go make sure because CNN covered and they are barely a verifiable status above tabloid news at this point for their incendiary tactic bullshit ) ... all that report really reveals is: A, this is what we observed; B, we don't have an explanation for what these objects really are. But it seems rather egregious using turn of phrases like unworldly toward a population saturated by the last 25 years of seamless VR vs R, in CGI dystopian Sci Fi cinema. Too egregious in fact - c'mon man! They said that shit like that, deliberately. Maybe it is to increase funding. I dunno. Or, it's just the PR ineptitude of American "intelligence" agencies. Ha! Distinct possibility just the same. Either way, it' like they are cutesy dancing around the pachyderm notion of the thing and what they 'really' think - actual ET ? Say it, but don't 'say it' to dodge culpability and undermining confidence in their offices.
  8. N edge of high cloud band just cleared here, too - we're currently humming in the microwave
  9. I realize this won't get considered/ ..if read, so I'll keep it brief. Models turning the flow more west tomorrow/Tuesday. Mid coastal CT to Logan and points SE won't broil today ventilated by modifying marine contamination and mid/upper 80s and rich DPs oughta do it today. So when the thumbs down post about the heat bust start up, keep that in mind
  10. It's still 7 days away so yeah, likely to change in future runs. Wouldn't sweat it - This forum also serves as an outlet for neurotic complaining/venting. Soo many red-headed step children are grateful this was invented as a domestic abuse reducing device - lol..
  11. Oh, .. Hoarfrosty Hubb-dawg ... You were talking about Monday - I was thinking today when I responded. What I said really applies to today more so ( although the 77 DP is a bit hyperbole, admit - ) Tomorrow... Mm... you still won't make 98 - lol. But I suspect you could get into the low 90s.
  12. Good ... judging by what I just saw weeble-wobbling into Walmart, a food shortage may give western Industrial societies a chance of getting the majority biomass of the proletariat to actually become less massive ... There's a thought.
  13. Yeah, this is one of those deal where the ultra calibrated nature of the typical air-way ASOS tech housing ...won't reflect small rural down towns, nor the experience of living in them, as they are surrounding by sun baked fields evaporating soil moisture into a column with ongoing continental Tropical air transport already. I could see ASH being 94.3/69.8 on that Mesowest ... but Lancaster center is 88/77 and the latter is actually f'ing real too.
  14. It won't - If Logan makes 101, you'll be 95 at your elevation and foliage dense surrounding - also rural environment? DP ? That's another thing. You'll be in the tea kettle on that one
  15. Heat wave begins tomorrow locally. unlike the last .. this one may have better nocturnal retention. Wow Monday night 25C at T1 in the new NAM all night long in wind that had veered into a light W direction , both NYC and BOS, after an afternoon of 95/72 is a bad bad night for lower income urban dense housing 2nd a 3rd story residences. One of those 84 at 1am deals out by the curb. dangerous Tuesday - that looks like Excessive warning headline to me
  16. Frankly .. long about Thursday tolerances may be blown and a front "near by" might just be welcome ... not necessary, for the 4th weekend. if one comes through a ridge west dominant pattern, it probably backsides dry air and 80 F ...like absolute perfect weather for outdoors and fire works and all that shit. The Euro run is insufferable - goes from a deadly 103 HI event spanning nearly 4 days ... to a miserable one, lasting an additional 4 days. Hand wringing over losing that is tantamount to psychosis if you ask me -
  17. Ha - ...consummate too low machine DP guidance caught NWS off guard ?
  18. Identity politics is 'tribalism' period - ... a lot of which is probably more primal-instinctive, engendered over eons, than people are aware. Yeah that's right - we do it unconsciously, we seek now. Why? Because at a species level of consideration, our advantage over all was formerly our intense social dependency in and of ...duh duh dunnnn 'THE TRIBE' Working together, en masse, we concurred the Sabertooth monsters and brought down the Willy Mammoths, and survived by necessary co-dependency as the weakest, pound for pound warm blooded member in the biological kingdom of prey-predator competition ecology. Other animals are born with the attributes to do so; our "claws" and "teeth" is/was shared information. It took 750,000 years of evolution to do so. The last 500 .. 200 ..and in particular 50 years of techno-sociological emergence ( on the time scales of evolution, a cyber bomb went off) is provisionally secure, and no longer as much so requires the former evolutionary advantage - but it is a voice that cannot be muted, calling from within. Sorry for the ooh-la-la finger snap dialogue, but it's really sort of apropos. The instinctual message that was evolved all along is not be answered by the advantages in modernism. People feel lost, without that community. They can find the tribe. It's a powder keg for dissension and schismatic fracture in the culture, because the internet offers a way for people to find and formulate that sense of tribalism that is missing in their biological imperative - which it is ... The instinct to be in the tribe, is in our genes! But there is no tribe between the well fed individual alone with his/her smart phone, and no sense of challenge - other than what CNN tells you you should be challenged by? I think we are living through an evolutionary turn - it may take the next 50 generations to settle out ... probably after some form of natural ecological failure, war(s) and a cocktail or two population correction and if we make it - some new paradigm of how to be together again, when faced with all these advantages.
  19. this might be more the esoteric metric but .. the 12z NAM FOUS for BTV up there in NW NE ? I almost wonder if they set a high DP ( dew point) record sometimes late Sunday into Monday. 23 to 28 C at their T1 sigma level - yet they have repeating intervals ( 6 -hrlies) with QPF in the bucket straight through that heat. That's like suggestive of raining noon Monday at 87 F - yikes
  20. Sorta yeah, but humans are different? "deer-stung" metaphor may be a bit of an irony in this sense, because Human curiosity - after all - gets us to the moon, where no other species on this planet exhibits and/or operates motivation, to satisfy discovery, so boldly. They are more at guided by built in primal fear triggers that avoid risk based on the corporeal senses of daunting sight, sound, smell..etc.. That, right there in that movie - to me - smacks as just another frontier exploration, overcoming the instinct to "run from the thunder" . In short, he doesn't know any better; we benefit from a risky venture into a film making - lol. Give 'im a few run ins with 1999 May on the south side of OKC, and we probably never would have seen this video made.
  21. It's all relative. Can't predict the future, so we live our lives now, and hope for the best, while we presume the best is not 6 ft under ground in our convenience entitled, stupefied modernism - but that's another excoriation in human failing for another time. Canada would look like they were ahead of the game if this/these "Delta phase-II of operation kill-back" variants make the vaccine numbers less than useful. We wait and see ... Personally, I'm getting 'humorously' suspicious ( call it ... ) of these variances being more potent than the original. That is not typically how Pandemic epidemiology's historically studies demonstrate, per the reads I've come across on the subject matter. Subsequent virus variants amid their genomic descendance are typically less injurious to the host, because it doesn't make sense for the virus to actually kill the host - that academically torpedoes its ability to spread ? hello - That is why Influ A and B are not as deadly as Spanish Flu...etc, and on and so on. They become endemic with less potency,, in following this natural arc. The literature is easy to look up. These so-called variants are moving counter to that model - is this just a first in biological field observation? OR, since the primary version was clearly ( get f'ing real man ) bio-engineered, maybe this DELTA bs didn't mutate from jack shit in actuality - it too was 'accidentally released' Lol accidentally. I mean yeah .. it mutated alright - in a centrifuge.
  22. Truly spectacular high definition cinema vantage right there .. I suspect owes to the advantages of a rare tornado in that region of the world; the less threat-acclimated civility, not experienced enough to have fear and precaution ruin their vantage points - like through a window... or just getting a glimpse of it en route to interior cover before the door slams shut. This guy ? You can tell he's deer-stung mesmerized as he just stands there in the door jam mere feet from the egg-beater -
  23. You don't have to impress me! I've been very clear about my fascination for heat wave synoptics, early detection in modeling and throughout the gestation of events over the years - just as sickly much so as wandering out in a dusty froth of 0 F cryo-hell in busy winds and whirling snow so heavy it's thunderstorm gray during mid day light.
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