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Typhoon Tip

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Typhoon Tip

  1. In the end its probably just component in the greater social experiment of this thing. It may mimic or formulate as though, casting off affectations of planned this and social-engineering that. But it's like the first time in history the entire world has gathered around a common interests and visions toward the same directive/goal, that did not require or result in a WORLD WAR. I've opined in the past, but it is a historic sort of ...well IS a watershed moment in history. But part of that is seeing it through? - I think... Like, we've come this far, now finish the task. A lot of the underlying motivation in urgency is a cultural abstraction/vibe more so then a disclosed or discretely observable directive. Think fad to see it through ... I think it's proportionality in a lot of ways. There have been anit-vaxxers and in general, eye-brow raising about vaccines since mid last Century. Yup. But, only now when it is possible to mechanize an entire billion population to that, and make surveilled by media coverage ... etc etc, the scale of awareness and anti-sentiment grows in direct proportion and seems now like a civil war of ideologies in the matter. So, us more passive types ...cerebral and observant about it, do "kinda sorta" get caught in the cross fire by wondering ... 'yeah, why is it so urgent' - it's probably more just grander awareness. I think LOL
  2. mmm.. sentiment shared by a lot more folk than just yourself if it makes you feel any better.
  3. Yeah, they're really helpful in CS, too. I called them and there was little hold time, and connected to competency - relatively savvy sounding level 1 support is probably all you'll need. Describe your symptoms vs needs, and that individual will probably ask you about gaming and station/port numbers in the household, etc... Y'all arrive at a model the best suits your need - I only went with the multi channel because at some point a spare bedroom ( was thinking...) would be converted to a nice home office, so I'd need access with lucidity from that area of the home...blah blah you get it. Shipping time was like 4 days. Problems solved -
  4. LYNKSIS router - I have a 4-channel broadband WIFI powerful enough that SETI could operate out of the home - ha! I don't use 95% of the thing's capacity ... Yeah, maybe a bit of an over -purchase, but LYNKSIS tech support was indicating pretty convincingly that the state of the art/direction isn't going the other way, anyway. I was getting stalls and time outs with weather maps and satellite and porn (kidding). Then, work started booting me off their server. Database programming would hesitate too long compiling relatively non-taxing scripts. ...etc... Internet speed test was like 10 mps ... I'm thinking, whaaaaa In 2020? So, went on their website, figuring the near 15 year old router might be bottlenecking... and got this one for like 85 bucks... They start at 50 and go to 300 for multi- plex gaming and streaming throughout larger facilities, which I don't need. Got it out of the package, jumped through an hour of config and securities language I did not understand, but once all was connecting, now I'm haulin at 400 to 500 mps!! I've never gotten a hesitation while streaming NETFLIX shit since I got this, and weather satellite and mobile model loops rotate through their cinema without stalls on lap-tops. General web use loads pages from the future ....
  5. yeah, I seriously have been bugged for some time with thoughts about 'unplugging' COMCAST is arrogantly got the world by the ballz - or think they do. Are they aware there are other options? I just think their circuitry is unevolving and almost pure profit - I don't like orgs that just collect. The feckless nature of capitalism won't reduce prices in that state. The infrastructure is/has been in place, for some time. They do nothing that isn't software related ...and only roll-out minor changes that are over marketed but do nothing to enhance or improve jack shit. And infrequently to justify the average bill of 200 ( say ) $ per household, combined with untold business packages? I mean spanning some 200 million entities - They are a multi billion dollar gaping greed maw masquerading as a telecom service/organization and I would love to just stop throwing money into their throat. Obviously I'm being hyperbolic in jest and complaint to some degree... I have freinds that have cut ties. They went to another means to get good web service into the home, and then rely on that to service news to entertainment. Their lives - they've told me - were unchanged and nothing missed. That's part of the 'big cable' delusion - they seem to benefit from a kind of abstract fear that people/orgs/society et al have that they will 'miss out.' None of these cats miss games in sports. They know when bombs go off in cafes ... what celebrity o.d.ed, or stately figure or 'nobleman' got accused of rape, in the same space as anyone else. And the key is, they spend like 10... 20% of the previous conglomerate dependency model is/was. Jesus..why haven't I done this yet.
  6. yeah ... tend to agree here. I opined and was ignore myself just an hour ago, how the Euro and now-cast (sat/rad/obs..) combined seemed to argue a slightly more evolved cyclogen. Albeit weak, ... the PWAT is exceptional. Like ... don't need a blow torch to ignite a nitro, just a subtle match'll do the trick. BOOM... choke rain off a butterfly fart. This latter metaphor is a lot of 'what this comes down to' just as well. I mean, where it rains as a result of lopping upper bound physical PWAT amounts over weak triggers, will make people think the Canary Islands went ahead a bifurcating sending a 1500' tsunamis clear to the Berkshire 'new coast'
  7. Kind of tough to go against the Euro at this range - this intonation may not be 'meant' but it doesn't seem to respect the Euro? It's okay, to each his own. But the Euro, contrary to meme and music therein, is a superior guidance technology at this range so disregards at one's own risk I suppose. Doesn't mean it will be right - no. But it's a risk.
  8. The Omega Strain - wait 'till this thing works its way through the entire Greek alphabet ... look out! Cuz of course, it's much more dramatic and saleable than the boring old familar A-B-C's that way so its gotta be extra super scary
  9. Heh.. pound for pound deer may be the dumbest mammals alive. I doubt it takes much denting of I.Q there to get one drooling while wondering around doing mobius loops. But the zombie-deer is funny euphemism. you take a big mass with zero higher order intelligence capacity/wholly guided by congenital heredity for impulse, ... cut some wires in the head, while maintaining a heart beat - yeah... I guess that would mimic a zombie. Kosher - ing is going to be a technological futures. Particularly if that shit ever got transmissible zoonotically - there's a sci fi novel
  10. I haven't been completely sold on this even taking place - not as heavy as the NAM. The longer sermon version of this scenario would describe a situation that has morphed from a retro warm boundary, to an actual albeit rather anachronistic sort of coastal low. The prior renditions by the NAM weren't coastal lows - they were convective feed-back phantoms, evidenced by the fact that every cycle of the model had different foci. However, present sat/rad and at least one global model argues for the better synoptic forcing, and the consensus with the Euro adds to that. It's weak, but still having extraordinarily rich PWAT atmosphere. Blah blah no one'll read it anyway ... rains hugely more than a cyclone this paltry typically does.
  11. Well … I guess in that situation you would not be ‘meeting deliverables with qualitative results’ huh you wouldn’t expect those people to do things from home and zoom but… Like I was just saying to Phin … we may not have any choice as a species at a species level it seriously all going to have to change and the sooner the better. this pandemic has that weird kind of serendipitous timing that will take historians to recognize -because sooner is better and perhaps necessity; it’s really giving us a perfect opportunity to experiment with a new way of thinking about labor and occupation and resource logistics and management across the whole spectrum of industry. Wake up call
  12. Well unfortunately the accompanying leverage has less to do with what people want. It has to do with what corporations are willing to pay for. The impetus: companies do not want to pay overhead for facilities when all of this has exposed the previous model giant money sink all along. Pressure from environmentalist and the very real environmental concern with a carbon footprint is also modulating or modifying those decision making. There is a quantitative energy consumption from the moment somebody leaves the house in the morning to the moment they come home; that entire spectrum of affairs costs environment exactly where the environment cannot afford to spend. Most people who are business owners don’t think about this kind of stuff; they are intrinsically GOP types whether they mean to be or not - unwittingly so. Or they specialized in green renewable space, or they are going to be downsizing, whether they mean to or not. For companies that come before the environment … we’re coming to a point where the environment started to dictate policy because we have no fing choice and so neither will they Anyone who thinks or projects otherwise is on the wrong side of history…
  13. Work revolution cannot be stopped. as the saying goes …that’s a ship that has definitely sailed.
  14. Why? if they are getting work done and meeting deliverables with qualitative results what difference does it make where they do it
  15. Yeah well not entirely sure you’re all not being had anyway -
  16. Wow that’s some insane meteorology on that 18z NAM 25kt E wind at Logan jars S at 30 during 2 hours of fire hosing Usually you don’t jolt conveyors in the lower levels like that…
  17. either people don't want to; people still think they don't have to ever get sick or die. pick one
  18. Reputation and character perception mean something in politics, though. The idea of Gov Baker falling behind Cuomo's mandate mmm that assumption may have just taken a big hit, based upon the day's revelations. Apparently, the D.A. finds enough credible evidence that he's probably losing his nuts-in-public-opinion and being neutered of power here shortly.. He'll get his day in court but ... things aren't looking good for that dude. Not sure Baker will wantonly align behind mandates that were instrumentalized by a narcissist/sociopath fondler - even if exonerated, it's too late. Politics is perception - almost entirely... Our society doesn't provide pathways to redemption. And Baker and gang's political weight won't willingly be lightened by the erosive power of agreeing with the likes of an asshole
  19. It's too bad FSU ( c/o Dr Robert Hart ) doesn't carry the cyclone phase for the NAM solutions. It would be interesting ... I suspect the mid Atlantic spin up is a diabatic/latent heat release/grid scale feed back monster that would also show up as a quasi-symmetric warm core ( though edged in favor of subtropical of course...), but would be faux in the first place if the low doesn't really exist. The thing is ...the NAM solution is not IMpossible. The model doesn't ultimately assess solutions out in time that can't happen- wouldn't be much use as any kind of prognostic tool if that were the case. Although, LOL, the model doesn't much so for any time beyond 36 hours most of the time but that's another story of reasons. Anyway, with deterministic Met ...the objective forecaster considers all solutions. It's just that the acumen is in deciding which one's are probabilistically better seated, and then tabling the others in lieu of those solutions/blends. In this case, I tend to think that the NAM is wrong - but I could be. Haha. But, part of the reason is because it has a history of zealous W/neary coastal interface deepening. I keep thinking back to June when a very similar evolution took place. WAR pushing west, pushed an anticedent/vestigial front back NW, and the NAM kept running these low nodes/QPF bombs along it. None of which verified.
  20. Yup... it's been doing it on every run. spinning up little cyclone nodes on the warm retrograding front - pretty clearly diabatic garbage. But each one then positively feeds back and over rains/QPF...blah blah. It exhibited this exact same behavior at these same sort of time leads, when this very similar scenario of retro WAR pushing the boundary back took place in June. It didn't verify very well. just sayn' Also, the NAM is too cool on SE side of the post boundary environment, from PHL-BOS on Thursday imho. If the boundary washes out and is NW when that happens, the I-95 is probably 84/73.
  21. You guys ever try anchovies on thin crust ? man … there’s a brick open oven joint in town here, “Sorrentos” … insane suck pepperoni savory goodness … sauce is authentic - never sweetened so not to interfere with the cheese meat juices .. all on thin smoke charred insanity. Anchovies added? No words. ‘course … one way ticket to hell if you got gout and hypertension cause of all the uric acid and salt but ya know … calculate your risks - it’s worth it as a treat
  22. Heaviest rain rate perhaps of the convective season. Man that up the coast retrograding warm front has that upper bound PWAT green rain curtain look in the NAM - NAM did that also back in June when that similar ordeal played out tho. The physics in that model trying to close off eddies along the warm boundary from embedded convective nodes - creating its own feed back mechanics that gooses QPF; it smacks as the same thing. Wouldn’t shock me if that’s much less but regional reintroduction to the warm soup. Might briefly take on a Bahamas blue pattern as that front smears through while losing identity … In fact hard pressed to see where/how that rich theta-e then advects out. That’s a reentrance no exit synopsis out there.
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