Typhoon Tip

Yeah ..the druthers talk - risky ... But I hate April. ...no no.. .I despite and loathe April climate - more succinct. March is negotiable. I either appreciated it for specter and awe, varying to hating and despising it just as much as April. The teasing sun angle that becomes more like harassment after the 15th ... gets irking really quick when there's no interesting meteorology to pass the time with, yet it may remain putrid outside. The impetus there being ... normally when one senses the vibrant aura sol's return, they want to be outside, but can't because of the latter. But, if there's big deal storm, I'm happy to cash in my hypocrisy chips smugly join in like I love it April? nope ... I don't give a f* Which is why I can so relate to the adage, "April is the cruelest month" - it really can be excruciating. I think in my life 1/5th were personally, subjectively decent. And there's no way to make an objective scalar perspective on that - because of that pesky word: "perspective" - to each his or her own. There are folks that - I believe - have that negative ( or anti ) S.A.D. condition that effects some 15% of the population. It's truly a condition, however lesser ubiquitously known. It is recognize by the psychobabble community, too. For these 'opposite' folk the thought of summer brings them down. Bright sun... warmth? These sensible baths do not inspire soothing sentiment inside of them. Just opposite actually, equally triggered ... just like the other end's 15% that experience gloom when the days dim heading into Autumn. If one is at either end in their 15% "dysfunctionality" ... can't you see how both get f'ed? I mean, those who need the sun get bum bruised by endless cloud mank, and those that need the winter they are leaving behind, so so without choice. Both sides now, as Judy Collins once said. I "think" I am neither...? More among the bell curve of society. Here in the majority we tend to be more modestly "mooded" by these seasonal aspects, if at all. S.A.D. in either direction is technically managing depression - I'm not a shrink... and having brought this subject matter to light in this particular social media has resulted in flame throwing in the past ( probably because it is not only on point, it touches a true nerve...). But, I can turn the pen on the matter for having lived and suffered by humanity's various vicissitudes for ah ...so many decades heh. Experience is a good teacher. I suspect some of the social media winter pirates in here are at least, leaning toward the summer, - S.A.D. variant... But, regardless of who we are... being cooped up with Pandemic distancing shit while the days cold out in people's yards... Not sure it is a S.A.D. issue one way or the other, because that is a directly imposing, miserable constraint on ones existentialism - so protracting a cold March is loathsome for a different set of reason perhaps.

You would not be correct in that assumption - There were those of us engaged rather extensively in discussion late last summer into Autumn, ..regarding the solar minimum correlation with blockings/ -AO ...as well as the SSW contamination/ PV break-down potential.. All of which transpired rather nicely... Not speaking for you ...but you may be referring to those who focused all their apples in the ENSO cart - but to that... I can only say caveat emptor ( ..that means 'buyer beware' ). We also spent considerable time discussing growing bodies of research that offset ENSO as the primary driver ( assumption ) in the framework of governing the hemispheric eddy during winter months. Of those who were ENSO reliant - ...they may or may not have considered the polar indexes, I don't speak for them either. But if that's what you saw, it is what it is. As far your "opinion" ...I won't try and change it, because I could tell you there is a train coming on the tracks your standing upon...you won't get off until you see the train. That's the way humans are, and therefore - at no fault to you per se ... - anything one says prooobably won't persuade your thinking one way or the other. But allow me retort with my opinion: ....that makes me cringe - sorry, it does... Who in the f would ever not try - that smacks as toe-the-line thinking. Adherence to traditional methods ... stuffing discovery and ( frankly ), as well as stopping what is necessarily a part the human condition, advancement. We are the tech species - we evolved to this point via collective intelligentsia and application of that which was gleaned by "trying" - i.e., the discovery process - and it applies here to...

Lol - Speaking of which... that D8 and 9 of last night operational Euro would be humbling for its raw power in angel-weeping utopian appeal. Going from a veritable Pandemic internment camp/ .. quasi lock-down, 32 F persistent shut out hell, merely make-believing the this winter is offering anything really interesting in terms of phenomenon to make eternity bearable ... to that ? It would be both sensibly and psychologically abrupt. The diaspora of the pressure cooking civility will be like that night the Pats won the Superbowl back in 2002 - the first one! ... when society exploded upon the streets stripping shirts in throngs of exuberant cheer, "Free at last; thank god all mighty, we are free at last " ( not to diminish the power of that borrowed turn of phrase! ) Limitations on that two day appeal are ... A ... it's not going to happen. For one, it's too perfect at this range and the delicate metrics cannot be understated. A fly fart would f* that all up... I mean, the set up could take place, but there are plenty of reasons to assume no. Spare the reader this time..heh. I will say, it's almost like the balm and beauty variate of the D8 Euro bomb phantom scenario. Now ... I'm not entirely sure that dubious performance goes both ways, but I suspect in this case ..them two hard-on afternoon appeals are probably an artifact of the Euro being too exuberant with western low heights and SE ridge in the ultimate sense. B ... snow pack? I'm not a big fan of this offset factor.. It's "almost" ( but not entirely so ) as meaningless as that good ole dependable rubery, 'the ground is too warm to accumulate'. Nonetheless it may play some roll because the snow pack in the region is not local just to NE ...it's extending W and N. There may be a magnitude threshold/ .. albedo for specifically solar capacity to heat - that's slightly different than capacity to transport warm air via advection. Different physics for heating there.. Otherwise, wow ... vitals on the first blue-bird days of the year. 1 ... timing is perfect. Fropa is prior to 12z on D8 ... no clouds. 2 ... partially confirmed by the 700 mb RH, which shows a large regional plume of < 40% RH ...which from this range is a decent metric/proxy for inferring cloud seeding/coverage..It looks like open sky on this run for the 8th, and at least through 20Z on the 9th. So plenty of sun, light wind at a velocity that's placating back yard mixing and bulging BL to adiabic compression depths... It would probably be a MOS cold bust easily - 4 ... Wind direction ... ~ 290 to 310 deg, and non aggressive velocities, and nearly parallel to the thickness contours means the actual CAA isn't really happening despite the frontal passage. That's typical of Pacific fronts... They are feeble for actual advection, such that other offsets like climbing sun and topography can easily offset. That set up is that incarnate! That looks like a 2-meter hover temperature of a 70 F ... I have seen it be 60 F over snow pack on Feb 10, in 540 thickness and open sun. Oh MOS has 48 not even looking I can tell you. You have a Pacific cool front toting modified early spring air across the NP and post that front, light NW flow with staggered 850 mb therms close to +5 C under a late February sun. That's usually a "d-slope dandy" recipe and they always bust MOS cool, particularly at this range - no hope or clue at machine numbers representing that 2-meter potential from here. None... Muse, that's the equivalent of the "Spring shot across the bow" for one. Even if that layout doesn't ultimately happen ...which I don't have very much confidence it will, just the fact that it's in the model means it is physically plausible, and has not been to day - sort of the same idea of 'bowing' to inevitability. Will and I have mused the opposite affect in mid to late August going the other direction ... the day may still make 70 but you can tell ...soon as the sun kisses the western horizon you're already 64 and by 8 pm it 48 ... 42 at dawn with a couple of car tops next to the bogs with soft frost... next afternoon is 72 ..then 82 two days later. It was Autumns shot across the bow - warning shot. In the spirit of reciprocity it's kind of like the same idea? Ha, two days later the GFS is trying to phantom a late season winter storm, too. Perfect!

Maybe we conjure up a nice swan song event over the next two weeks -

If folks were taking trends and indices and 'intangible' indicators seriously ...? they are all dead at least in snarky sarcasm ...but probably so the course of least regret -

Calm down - You are not reading it right, "pretty typical really". .. Only saying this once: 'all season' in the previous context does mean at every point along the way, in perpetuity - it means that it is a tendency ( in the objective context of that read ) to occur ALL SEASON LONG. Honestly .. your demon is that you are utterly obsessed with attempting to ferret out other people's intent by reading between the lines, and you are not even good at that...

Meh... I guess if folks are scraping to pad seasonal with any way they can ... it's worth following? But otherwise, that's nothing more than an aggressive baroclinic knot with subtending gradient whisking by at ludicrous speed. I can visualize rad returns moving from Alb to off the coast in 3 hours and it's over...having snowed but because the snow is like 7:1 showery in nature, it only wets the pavement and yard snow depths are actually less at the end of the day for having actually snowed runway oatmeal over a soft pack leading. ...although I have 4" of goose feathers over concrete ... That whole thing is in the process of its deep later mechanics being stretched.. its destiny to fall victim to the same aspect suffered all season: the longitudes between Chicago and Cape Cod, the flow gets pulled along the x-coordinate ...that "synergistic" tendency is damping everything that tries to survive that wave-space gauntlet through that domain -

Twitter-like version: Nothing's changed. Repeating theme past several days continued across the suite of modeling tech overnight. GEF's teleconnector outlook vs operational trend are in conflict. This could be masking a warm March "feel" Longer version: In fact, the gap grows between the GEFs and the operational GFS. GEFs telecon portrait of March 2012's cousin walking down our street looking for the hemispheric address... Whereas the GFS? ...it wants a sub 540 stasis look forever - so bad that it not only cannot reflect the GEFs, but seems to even compensate seasonal change/ natural variance as even vestigial in the dailies. Relentlessly asynchronous .. It's important because the erstwhile advertising for plausible March reversal and possible more sustained warmth in spring, comparing transition seasons in recent years .. depends on the operational GFS not being right. Lol - ...I mean, I'm on the up confidence side that it won't - but in the interest of scientific objectivity ... shit if I know for sure. The operational GFS has a real problem with N/ Stream domination. That may not lend to its being able to pick up on that which it's weighted ensemble membership is presently seeing. And it is concerted in the latter sense, too; the curves don't show a lot of "mop ending" - they agree on a +AO that's soaring now to ~ +2 - so ...doubling down. Yet the 00z operational still seems disconnected and suppressing the westerlies down beneath 38 N. One can identify it on the chart(s). Heights on the polar side of the westerlies, they are routinely and dependably some 4 to at times ablating down to 12 dm of heights colder than either verification, or ...any other guidance - usually by D6 and onward. By D10 and beyond, those error depths are quite noticeable, at times bored down to 468 dm holes as far S as southern JB during DJF climo. That strains Terrain likeliness to put it drool. 468 ...c'mon man, is that even found in the nucleus of Antarctica ... seems a bit excessive. And, well, ..never seen any other guidance or verification ultimately wend their way down to the exotic SPV nadirs as the operational GFS. ... sometimes it's hard not to muse that they are faking it? Like the model is just the blend of the ensembles, then just before dissemination ...they souped it up with some sort of turbo coefficients "correcting" it competitive with foreign markets.. But now they are stuck! They can't pull out because if they do the whole thing is like a spring loaded error bomb ...Lol.. 'Magine that? "Scandal at NCEP: Details at 6 - " Conceptual logic: It connotes a reason why the GFS carries on with a progressive headache tendency, particularly smearing its middle range deeper into extended. If the model is over amplified with cold heights... it has to concomitantly steepen integrating gradient outside those cold wells -- > velocity surplus is generated ... Ultimately, that stretches/ stresses the R-wave positions into the x-coordinate ( E ). Pretty fascinating actually - Summary: the GFS may be the last model to sniff out a warm anything in spring. It'll fight seasonal change as a hemispheric forcing. It'll fight the intra-seasonal signal ..as evinced at times like now, when the GEFs derivatives have warm balm looks.. it natively dampens those signals because the cold is keeping the westerlies S. I just have used the GEFs mean/teleconnectors HUGELY successfully, too often in the past years ...including this one, in make extended "tendency" call - sometimes actually parlaying usefully in a daily distinction. This served the October, December and January events very well... Pure GEFs... not EPS. Which is not to say the EPS doesn't work. I just don't pay for and don't engage beyond the coarse free-sites, with that ensemble package .. to really know it's quirks and usages. I do have a sense, however, that it follows its operational model closer. Anyway, ... There is no part of: +AO/+NAO/-PNA La Nina climo HC expansion and subsequent hemispheric forcing hypothesis noted in present research The fact that spring is ultimately actually coming as a Celestial mechanics imperative ( lol...) .... that ultimately suggests the GFS interminable suppression of the 540 dm in a blazer jet from west of Frisco to S of NS ...embedding nickle dimes forever, will be very successful.

Hm. Decent event after all go figure

3.5 “ surprised ... weak CSI look. S- 26 51 season

Sort of agree? I think we have an entirely separate, and quite new, behavior going on... Other Mets not in this social mediasphere - that I am aware ... - and I have been back and forth re the apparent ..increasingly more coherent year to year "book ending" seasonal lag effect. What that is, is that speedier hemispheric flow rushes seasonal change in earlier... and that pops off continental cold snaps ...atoning for why since 2000 there is a propensity for snow realization, either by supportive synoptics or actual in the air phenomenon, prior to November 15s. I know anecdotally/ .. existentially that is true in my life, which is about split ( bottom heavy ..) around 2000.. I think I smelled snow air 10 times and saw it once in October in those decades; since 2000, half at least if not 2/3rd of years at least in the synoptic sense... But here's the kicker - almost a pun too .. As the gradient hemispherically steepens with the onsetting boreal winter heights...the sloped/ gradient effectively transforms the hemispheric mid latitudes into a progressive velocity saturation... and that tends to off set the curve trajectory jet structures ( tends to people - we're not talking absolutes here...).. That mitigates cyclone proficiency some ... accounting for big cold N big warm south ...paltry mechanics that actually snow proficiently relative to, because they are containing more water vapor - so there's competing layers in there... But in the spring, the gradient relaxes and the hemisphere like, 'passes back through that autumn' framework en route to the normal summer nebularity.. And as it does, we get late cold blocking and packing pellet events in April and Mays - sound familiar... I think/wonder if this spring we may offset that that typology we seem to have established of springs as of late.. Because this will be the first time there is a temporal collocation of warm factors ... La Nina + HC + telecon clustering of warm mass indicators... added to seasonal solar ... It may offset the eddy tendencies as described. 2012 may have been a March that demonstrates that what happens and ... while it's insane to forecast a redux of a +8 to + 12 month ( yikes...) frankly almost see that year's leading indicators as a bit of a anolog here. Just waiting for it to actually show up in the models ... hahahhha seriously though

Hey no argument - ...if our druthers had an say in the matter, of course... But let me ask the snow/cold -anti-SAD crew this question: If you could flip a switch and guarantee it would be 80 on March 1, never to suffer the flag pinning 'rea, would they still be saying the, " Better off keeping it winter into Mid Napril " mantra, OR, would the opt negating to flipping that switch? See?? ...They'd negate - - disengenuous... Hiding some tormented hatred for summer behind that flimsy sounding "might as well -" thing; to which frankly isn't even logical. In spring, one should be looking for spring, be the moment and embracing of it and the environmental inevitability ... The modeling and weather prediction that assists that along - all of it. Fact of the matter is it's all nonesensical failure to face reality, hiding in the enable delusional bubble of yet another Internet etho-chamber. Ha, I like that No but this year I legit am hitting the change harder because there are legit reasons to do so.

I like this realism of seasonal change - ... It is a Feb thing too... I've often noted that the very first subtle sense of seasonal change is really them two months. First day of spring is like whenever the back break happens going that way - vice versa in August. Now, just add the other climate modulators I've been trying to get this obsessed straight jacket red-eyed chair rocker crew to think about... doesn't end well for protracted winter enthusiasts. Now, whether that means March 3, 10, ...17...20 ... I speculate this spring has as good a chance as any in lore for doing more of sloped rise out/ less cold recidivism

So I guess in a nutshell ... there are signals in play here that support outlandishly warm March ...probably April too. It seems weak acknowledgement followed by "it's not over " ... isn't really acknowledging that possibility - I mean, WHAT's not over - ... like in 10 minutes... 10 days... ??? no one said so - just in case - but ... If March burns one and they feel spurned ... your choice -

I hope it is 83 F on March 1 - the 14th... then, precisely of the 15th, it is 32 F with 60" of snow, then the 16th - 30th it is 83 F Snowiest March ever

This has been intolerable ...yet tolerated. I've taken to coining this a Pandemic interment camp. No 3-year old but I can imagine. I have 8 sisters and no brothers, and they all had sons.. which made me officially a swaying nephew-tree. I mean, you pull up curb side in front of the house... you swear the kids merely found out I was coming and before I even arrived they musta been scrambling to outfit in their climbing harnesses and rappelling gear ... After an hour of it, each kid may as well be a tire swing with a baby elephant etc... I'm miserably sad inside for having missed the opportunity to be a dad ... sometimes. I just take a moment to reflect upon ankle biting and rib counting contests ..screaming at one end, vs tantrums at the other along the "adorable" spectrum. Suddenly one does not feel so bad. anyway... The two warmest springs I personally recall are 1976 and 2012 ... both where immediately preceded by light to moderate La Ninas 1976 -1.6 -1.2 -0.7 -0.5 2012 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 I think there is some shot that this sort of lead-in serves ... La Nina springs have a tendency to flip pretty warmer than normal, and though these are only two years and were rather extreme, the normalized regression is warmer than normal as correlation anyway. 1976 April ... Four consecutive days above 90 F at UML station. 2012 ...not sure about intra-monthly records but... as a whole many climate sites soared to some +8 to +12 above normal. Difficult for that particular month to do that. Anyway, as I've been advertising with no buyers ( LOL ) ... the "intangibles" don't really favor cool either. I guess if it doesn't manifest and we end up doing the same with all these large and mid teleconnector scaled signals, land air and sea... working to punch a warm ticket... what can we say - it is what it is.

... perhaps more succinct than what I just explained to that individual -

Mmm the "pattern" is more than a snap shot of the surface, one day, that happens to suffice what one wants - ...wish it were that easy. If it were, the enduring winter enthusiasts just need look at a single daily chart out of the first cold snap in November and up - we're all set 'till next June. The pattern is more than this cold in New Englan/NP ... There are trends that are being ignored and probably it's futile to try and expose those to people because the selection tendency makes an aspect equally coherent: they won't allow themselves to see anyway. The 500 mb is more indicative of the pattern, btw ... I understand what you meant, but...with two deep troughs at that time, digging into the Great Basin out west, and a SE ridge that is heavily favored by a La Nina base footprint hemisphere ... HC ...climate change and fast flow seasonal trend ... +AO/-PNA/+NAO... plus, said SE is growing at an insidious slow rate almost unnoticed every day in the guidance... the pattern is in fact more like D(pattern) that you are looking at, and is thus not dependable really at all.. The foresaid collage of factors really probably suggests that the cold aspects are likely over-done.

Texas could be low or even middle 80s by D5 ... ...with ice damage in yards...

Yeah...noticing that here too... We've had mainly 'light' snow bursting. 29 also and it's still not sticking to the roads and driveway. I'm not sure what the physics/material science aspect is wrt solar at this time of year, but the sky is 'bright' relative to a snowing ceiling. We are on the equatorial side of the perennial solar minimum at this point. Speculative, but I wonder if were night .. would these lighter fall rates stick to those types of surfaces. If/when it snows heavy it doesn't matter... but when it's this light fluffy stuff and the sky is lighter it may become a nose tickler event only

Yeah ... not a complete failure ... Give it an A+ for place holder... about a D+ for realization ...

That ( may be ) an underrated spectacle there - ... not judging, but I could see that not getting the gawk factor it deserves. Not in this hurried, swipe to see the next tweeted stimuli. The shock junky's weighted virtuosity for meaningful introspection ... 'weird, huh' Looks like the opening scene conjured by a Hollywood producer, director and their writing team for a science-fiction space odyssey ... This alien worldly facade fades into view as the audience is bathed in the dystopian mid and low-range keyboarded foreboding subliminal angst. Hell yeah, I'd hit that movie - love that shit man.. After a few moments of that, it ends at something that looks eerily less organic? Your' not sure as the image pauses upon it. Just then, 'Zomb!' goes a single deep thud upon the timpani head, in concert with the assonance of a base-chordal stroke, and simultaneously the name of the films appears in goth black. Fade to: "It looks like an alien world," ...only those stalagmites that the conversing voice would at the time obviously be unbeknownst. Maybe they would be some other form of crystalline salts - in material science context... The water below is a 'near' toxic brine of various negative ionic base-state elements... Sodium just being one ... But, it's doable with lots of high-techy chem and electrodes. The only problem is...among the various challenges of colonizing this Earth-sized world, annexed by human advancing technology and assumptive providence over all that is in its visual detection... 'What was that thing we saw at the end of the intro tho?' This world was discovered in the early part of the 22nd Century: "Proxima Centauri b: It is the closest extra-solar planet to our native system.. Its mass is at least 1.3 times Earth, and thus by inference of such system's gravity and other techniques, assumed to be a rocky world. Its orbital period of 11.2 days puts it within its hosting star, a red dwarf's "habitable zone" - the distance from a star where thermodynamics permits water in liquid phase state across the surface . Which despite all evidences proving our planet's trials and tribulations, so extreme as to incur distinctive extinction level eras, we are in just such a zone around good old Sol. And it is, by no evidence to the contrary, still quite suited to our existence - it is a relative utopia all things considered. Yet, there are plenty of examples of organism that survive this planets nested regions of unimaginable heat, cold, or chemistries that by any corporeal sense of vitality are incomprehensibly beyond human tolerance. These so-called 'extremophiles' really own the world - they will be around after the great culling. And equally challenging any imagination that launches from that platform, what could they may be on other worlds, worlds where life's adaptations took place in no such utopia. ... And when the catastrophic ocean death wave passed over the Earth, and essentially asphyxiated it's ability to convert C02 back to 02 while sequestering carbon into future carbonate rocks... all warm blooded creatures greater than 50 kg were instantly at the brink of yet another extinction ... That's when desperation got us to Proxima Centauri b .

well... the twitter version combining the La Nina climate and pre-existing planetary footprints, with telecon do not equal the operational Euro... to put it nicely. Definitely not the GFS ... beyond D 8 or 9 ...

after dustings too negligible to register yesterday ... I awoke this morning to a 1.5" Adding brings me to 49.5 as a tight seasonal number -

I'd like to see the EPS full suite of derivatives ( teleconnctors...) before signing off on March threats - That suggestion is diametrical to the last 10 days of GEFs trend, as in 'opposite' , frankly. Which are not just persistent and thus represent high continuity, but are so concerted it is hard to separate the individual members in the curves ... +1AO/-1PNA/+1NAO ... by the time the first week of March is underway. ... perhaps the EPS is completely in support of winter fantasies into March - I dunno. Haven't seen those numbers; and by that, one would not care so much to hear someone's lensing interpretation, rather see their EOF derived index modes and modalities. The GFS operational run's daily synoptic morphology in recent day's of runs has become so increasingly detached from its own family telecon suggestions, it is as though they are no longer apart of the same geophysical genome. Like it is a new model with no ensembles and completely alien - I think it gets more and more suspicious that they dropped coefficient seeds in that thing to try and goose it's accuracy for shit they cannot fix and it's f'ing it up... Sarcasm aside... LOL, is not exactly doing my case any favors - no... Because .. when one is is dealing in postulation and speculation of future patterns based upon a rather arcane approach of balancing trends, modulated with 'synergistic' foresight ... that is not going to resonate very well in the average reader. People need to actually see it on the charts. The problem is, the concept arithmetic ...sumpin' like, ( ( La Nina spring + HC expasion + ) / 2 ( +1AO/-1PNA/+1NAO ) ) / 3 does not equal the operational Euro... to put it nicely. Definitely not the GFS ... beyond D 8 or 9 ... The GFS extended is exceptionally out of phase ... These aspects above - I am not making this shit up. Those are factually what we are dealing with, as present climate inference, plus the teleconnectors then mapping over top. That is a constructive interference at hemispheric/planetary scales... If at some point in the guidance, once some physical exertion thresholds gets kissed .. triggering this explodes into the warmest spring ever r some crazy thing - that would almost be understandable given the above leading colors. ... Climate change... Siberian methane hole punching through the permafrost ... hahahaha... alright, alright I'm completely joking on this latter stuff... But these tendencies to bulge the SE ridge as of late they're like 'fore-shocks' Sometimes when the higher resolution, supposedly more dependable, operational versions agree ( cross-guidance)... their disparate ensemble means will eventually collapse in favor. That "might" account for the index part of the crude formula above. But, the terminating SSW circuitry with the early January event/ .. normal gestation of those, does time the AO recovery by march when using historical inference on those events of the past - so that offsets that assmption. It's like no matter how one looks at this, it's warm... Yet the operational runs - this could be the greatest disconnect I have ever seen pending those EPS values... Despite all this rhetoric and prose... I don't have any skin in the game ...I don't care if it doesn't materialize a warm seasonal progression March. I don't care either - well..that's not entirely honest. I don't want to go through March and April NE cruelty as a lucid member of human sentience ...no. But, I don't care if this speculation does not materialize. I'm really more into it for the adventure and practice - and from where I am sitting... 10 days ...maaaaybe 14 if we nod to momentum.. I remember, what year was that...I think it was 2014? There was a big modeled ocean bomb that would have been 50" of snow and 100 mph wind gusts ... James and George001 moderated the press briefing between FEMA and NCEP, while their dads were super duper impressed ... Ann Hathaway even called James, rumor has it.... That storm stayed too far east to really clobber the area, but it did nick up as far as SE zones and the Cape. The cold air that was nasty and persistent that late winter going into March... wrapped around the storm and evacuated out with it. The curve of the month sloped up at 40 degrees on temperature graphs from that point on ...