Typhoon Tip

Even down in north -central PA it's doing this... You can see a stationary cloud production axis and the resulting saturated ceiling layer is a shit streak blotting out the sky over NYC some 150 miles away

It's comical ... we get a bust to keep it cold today ... and tomorrow, the NAM will be right! thus... we always "GET" to be cold - yay! just what we wanted - lol

Lol... I almost want to split my residency between ... any-f'um-where-else but here from mid April until late October, then return for winter. I bet if you took our specific location and compared it to every other point around the hemisphere at this latitude, we would find that this shit only happens here

If that convection doesn't form like the NAM has for overnight ... as I annotated above ... it may bust the other direction tomorrow - long shot.

Looping the hi res vis ...the cloud production is clearly elevation caused - these have an obvious orographic forcing aspect to them. It seems perhaps the low level resolution/ topographical featuring is the reason for the error/bust by models ... we have a WNW flow bumping over the elevations blah blah. Even the NAM's meshing missed this effect: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

If you're interested... It's because the dew points are still relatively low ... much lower than the ambient air temperature when the rain starts. As the rain falls into a dry air mass, the evaporation off the particles cools them down to freezing ( wet bulb temperature ..) prior to completely evaporating, so you're left with a sleet particle despite the temperature being relatively warm. It's a phenomenon ... not hugely uncommon in spring... I've seen rain with bouncing sleet pellets while as mile as 52 F temperature ... if it persists... the air temp will saturate down to say 37 and just be light rain - losing the evaporative cooling the cooler temperature, counter-intuitively no longer creates the ice.

Heh 00z NAM back S and cold Wednesday

Super moon is sick tonight. 7% bigger than normal seems like a small number but when you’re talking about a celestial object that has a way being a rather imposing result. I mean it’s like right there.

I seldom trust any icon of our celebrity fabrication driven culture. The real heroes are always drubbed up out of the silent sectors of sacrifice ... and the interviewee couldn’t care less whether they’ve caught a moment of charisma. They have work to do Betterment of humanity and the better part of valor have nothing to do with magazine covers and 60 Minute’s biopics. Having said that ... whether Elon is somehow masterfully conning the entire world or not remains to be “Socratically reviewed” ... but his company is physically placing humans in orbit ... etc He is in the least proven by air apparent to be a curator of talent and tech for those achievements

Cursory surmise on that ... it’s a disadvantage when needing to move quickly when the whole social structure has to move in an en masse... i.e bureaucratic limitation is obviously going to be speed. Contrasting ...free markets with a common vision ending up at a non-competitive goal ( or ~ less competitive )... rare as that may be, will be faster for being unencumbered during the entire life cycle of product evolution to delivery.

Wed may yet be warm S of ~ KMHT

Internet did that ...

18z American guidance attempted to edge N with the wavy front Wed ... Friday. NAM now ops to drop it down Friday and drill a humid rainy messy low circulation straight through, ... but the GFS takes Friday's low up the St L. Seaway and really sends us soaring first dp mid or upper 60s under 80s style warm sector. Then next week, the GFS goes flat ..all fields and really whisks the front/ .. air mass rapidly out and replaces with above normal heights/ flat ridging by D8-10 ... 582 dm IND-LGA ... Typical at that range, it has trouble loading warm thickness into the higher heights so suspect that 558 dm ends up 564 D7 ish... Different look overall then the Euro's cold 850 mb insert -

Too bad we don't have an evac mechanism aloft because that 0-3 ... perhaps 6km on Wednesday looks pretty positive in the direction shear... Noting Logan with 160 to 180 Deg and an LI -1 with -4 over LGA at 24 C in the T1 down that way, and ALB now popped to 20 on this 18z NAM ...so the w-boundary is fiddling in the run and could end up a slightly N... SRH ...

Funny ...I couldn't find hand sanitizers after the run on the markets last spring... SO, I went on line - I found this organic hyper concentrated shit that's fragrance free and got all tough and manly and had 6, 12 oz containers of it delivered. I still have 5, 12 oz containers unopened and the one lingering, 10 oz full container ... having never contracted Covid-19 in the 18 months of this vacation from pragmatism. Stuff smells like a industrial "tumorigenic" solvent used by hazmat encased cleaners of O-rings from the Space Shuttle rocket testing days... holy hell is that shit bad. And supposedly this is organic, in big gaudy it's safe letters because of the word organic. like... I thought carbon present in molecules determines organic and I started wondering ... - ...snake venom is organic .. Mayo, nuero, cyto and necro toxins... . So is the dreaded tetra-dutoxin from Box Jellyfish for f'-sake. I wasn't thinking things through, and as much as I have fun chastising and impugning, I too was pretty heavily swept away in the early histrionics I guess.

Man, that was 10 years... blink -

I've turned the phrasing recently ... ... the moment in time the "Industrial Media Complex" figured out a way to turn thumb swipes, mouse clicks, and television channel pings into money ... we were doomed - .. it's one big festering din of bate-and-switch enquivocation and lies, and the profit only happens once the headline is crossed ... The whole system needs a Carrington Event The funny thing about that is that it would almost be okay ... if the mass ballast of population learned the 'cry wolf' lessen and yeah yeah yeah'ed it. But this modern era is exposing that trophy culture is the biggest lie of all, because the majority is too stupid not to fall for headlines.

Mm hm ... it says that 10 minutes after filming this ... internet pornography arrived -

I'd be happy if it we got some sun and crispies... CB's are fun stuff when bubbling around. One thing that is different about this warm frontal/stationary stall them days is that we don't see a very convincing +PP N of the boundary? If we did ...we could go ahead and assume NE/E shit spritz, but the low levels may not be transporting that way.

Mm .. the Euro is stalling the front pretty much collocated with the Pike latitude, Wed/Thur It's late enough into the spring with solar modulation/destablization that it'll probably ignite diurnal stuff along it though - just sayn'. The GFS,NAM sort of look that way hate to say.

I shit you nay ... we joked and said so - here's the text stream: me " Any symptoms? " Matt "Super tired for a few hours. To be fair, it was a lazy Sunday so maybe normal? Headache that lasted half the day. Fine after that." me "Right. Yeah, I'm scheduled to f* up my Saturday ... first dose is actually Friday at 6pm. I'm hoping to just sleep it off overnight but a lot of stories on line about it lagging a day. Then...the second shot just gives you COVID-19 apparently. That's what those symptoms really are ... nanotechnology distribution prior to the take-over" Matt "Yup, it takes a while for the satellite to coordinate billions of brains into the uplink - then you only feel fine."

and you know ... it reminds me of the scene in "A Few Good Men" : "You can't handle the truth!" ... the lowest common denominator probably can't in a lot of ways..? But then that is made to be interminably worse by the fact that the target audience in this case ... DEFINITELY unable to handle such a rich and diverse spectrum of half truths and lies - when distant future scholars and historians describe this era ...they probably scope out to be the great achievement in diabolical social engineering since Lead was used as Roman piping and likely contributed to the crumbling of that empire - The pandemic is real - the information's been dystopian cinema, a fictional account that comes at the average civilian orders of magnitude faster and more dire than nature really imposes any veracious threat, with no accountability as to who is producing the movie.

One of my closer friends got his first dose yesterday morning... Said he spent several sleepy head hours in mid afternoon ... but wasn't sure if it was just part of his normal slovenly Sunday routine lol... but added that since he had a mild headache accompanying, he's willing to bet it was related. He's fine this morning... I told him oh yeah, wait 'till the 2nd dose when they actually give you C-19 lol

well ... mine isn't by choice - heh