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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    February 13th and 14th. I am out. No Cold High up north. Rain! Again this was a bonus wait until after the 15-16th of February.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    I will keep asking the question? Where is the Cold High up north for the cold air feed? This is a common theme time and time again with few exceptions over the past 5 years or so.
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Is that 975 mb?? okay that got real quick drops from 996 mb at Cape Hatteras to 975mb. Would like to see a cold high up north but that storm is strong enough to pull the cold air down and manufacture it's own cold air.
  4. Kevin Reilly
    lol it's a start.
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Oh, I agree I can care less about thermals this far out what's important is that there is a storm pretty much on the benchmark.
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Yea its great thermals are all messed up though.
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Well, quite honestly by March 14th pretty much we are done so you better have something to show by then.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    I hear you! In the meantime, be patient. Go shopping for Superbowl snacks, clear the yard of sticks to light a fire and roast marshmallows. It's coming and we track by next weekend!
  9. Kevin Reilly
    Yea he comes out before sunrise! Phil didn't see his shadow early spring! Wait it already has been spring! Wait the can kicking is real!
  10. Kevin Reilly
    Think we are about to see this on February 6th to 7th just not in the right spot too far east.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    He loves the 1960's for winter storms, hurricanes, and weather patterns!
  12. Kevin Reilly
    I love it Pineapple Express??? How is this a Pineapple Express when the flow is not coming from Hawaii. Look at the Water Vapor Map. This "Pineapple Express" is used for one thing especially in this case Ratings!! Pennsylvania Water Vapor Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather
  13. Kevin Reilly
    This is 8 days out. I would not say it's dead yet. If this solution is shown on Feb 4th its dead!
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Welcome to April come early! Also when was the last time we had a backdoor cold front in February LOL.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Light wet snow 36.0f humidity 82% dewpoint 30f pressure 29.93 steady wind ENE 7 ground wet. Snow and rain trace.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Hmmm what's that a sign of? (I have been talking about it for years) Cloudy days too probably go through April until about April 20th.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    The Philadelphia area is a little off. The yearly snowfall total for 2009-2010 is below as reported at Philadelphia International Airport what's 11.4"? 2009–2010 78.7
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Cloudy light rain drizzle fog 41f humidity 99% dewpoint 41f pressure 29.70 steady wind NE 14 mph Total rainfall 0.97" High so far today was 43 probably after midnight last night temps have held steady all day 39-41f. Welcome back to December 2023 for now!
  19. Kevin Reilly
    "We just can't know?" ....... I don't think any of this is ironed out until at the earliest Tuesday or Wednesday. Like you said lots of time to go!
  20. Kevin Reilly
    100% agree not too often you have a 993mb-996mb low that far south in Central Gulf to Cape Canaveral I too believe this is probably coming north in time on the GFS all about timing and how the energy ejects out of the southwestern states as it heads across the south.
  21. Kevin Reilly
    I like this post here. The models can show varying degrees of where to place the vort out west in the Southwestern United States but how the models resolve how that comes out of the southwest really determines what goes on along the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Case in point does the energy/ vorts all come out of the southwest all at once or does it come out of the southwest in pieces along with what kind of blocking is up top and cold air available too. All of these factors we live and die every year. So, instead of saying "We just can't know yet". I will go with I think we find out from modeling perspectives what way we are going here some time starting this afternoon to Tuesday 0z model runs. Also, I am in the camp that the SER is a transient feature. Good Luck to the Ravens fans here today!
  22. Kevin Reilly
    I am wondering maybe the set-up is correct it is just about 200 miles further to the ENE instead.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    It's definitely onto somthing!
  24. Kevin Reilly
    These Guys too! They know!
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Cold air aloft LOL
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