Buddy1987

Blocking/EE rule.. what could go wrong?!

How much you end up with most recent storm?

Blacksburg reporting change over to all sleet. Def a good bit earlier than what was supposed to happen. Shouldn’t be long for me now.

It is absolute ripping outside right now! Monster flakes ripping holes through the atmosphere like an F-18.

Big slug of dark greens and yellows about to swallow us here next 20-30 min. Really hoping it rips huge fatties instead of it being mixed with sleet.

@Blacksburg Coachyou got that big slug of dark greens and yellows almost at your doorstep. You’ll have to let me know if it’s got any sleet in it, as I’ll have to wait about 25ish min before it gets over to me here. Hoping it’s all snow and produces some big dendrites.

Absolutely beautiful outside. Crazy how still everything gets when it snows. Hasn’t been snowing overly long but everything has caved.

Everything has caved. Absolutely beautiful outside.

Can confirm up in the mountains flakes are gaining in size and sticking to everything.

Radar starting to light up like a cigarette butt out of Knoxville. Looking forward to that coming this way next couple hours! 19/6 temp has dropped a good 4-5 degrees last couple hours.

Only scientific reasoning behind my statement is radar obs.. this feels like a major qpf bust incoming. Any moisture that makes it close just dries up entirely.

This is a GREAT post! The southeast component to the air flow as the low cuts off to our west some will be noticeable, so increased fetch to Boones point, coupled with other factors outlined. Even if the radar isn’t going crazy at some point freezing drizzle minimum will be happening and accruing at that. Outside of this, I would be careful of weighing other areas with reporting more snow or colder temps to the west of us. Synoptically, things are different, namely for the reasons outlined above with fetch of southeast winds pumping in from the Atlantic/Gulf.

Am I radar hallucinating already?! The band of snow developing off the Jackson KY radar pushing into VA looks legit.

Anyone got gfs sleet map?

This one may go down in some type of record 24 hour sleet accumulation up this way.. I just saw simulation of 5.7” that would be unbelievable

Hands down one of the most impressive sleet accumulation forecasts I’ve ever personally seen. 5.7” is pretty awesome. I’ve fully accepted the sleet-mageddon and I’m excited now.

FV3 also now has that punch of a dry slot come flying up. Hi Res models maybe onto something. Post dry slot though back end comes in guns a blazin

FV3 looks like it has an itchy trigger finger in shooting the sleet line up around I-64 by HR 38. Naked eye looks like it’s even sleetier earlier down here.

@Bob Chilland I may be having a good giggle if the NAM verifies verbatim at 36. The returns are something of a summer thunderstorm rolling thru with sleet. Outside would be insane..

@BornAgain13HR 36 literally might have us giggle as to how hard the sleet will be coming down outside. The band verbatim the NAM has roll thru is like a damn summer time thunderstorm.

Looks like NAM finally catching onto the idea of a heavy qpf event. Some heavy returns over the TN Valley now HR 30.

Looks like the NAM finally is starting to latch onto the idea of a more significant qpf producer as hr 19 has a good chunk filled over the state of TX. Beginning portion of the precip our way has the “finger” of snow pointed directly at the NC mountain empire. Around 00z sleet and freezing rain mix spilling over now into NC. Snow breaking out 81 corridor up into VA.

Appreciate you stopping in!

NAM early on in the run has the HP slightly stronger out in the Midwest. See if it helps with temps as we go here and keeps the stones around longer.

I so hope it’s right but I’ve already set my expectations of a full fledged sleet bomb so I don’t get disappointed. FV3 RGEM GFS and HRRR want to smoke us before flip. Other problem is HRRR is beyond awful outside of even like 6 hours so it’s hard to buy in.