Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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Yea all the way up to about hr 124 looked great but then it started to trend stronger and more west..
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This run about to bring out the geek in everyone. HR 111 is looking fantastic. Night and day difference between GFS and EURO.
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Good to see GFS mostly unchanged through 78 on Pivotal
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That's actually a really good point. Maybe one of the better cases (which would upset most of the crew) would be a charlotte to chesterfield up into the DC area or something. Not sure if even the NC mountains or SW VA could survive that..
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And doesn’t have the tendency to bury things like the euro.. I’ll hang my hat on the gfs and it’s model suite until something substantial changes. Call me crazy but I’ll roll the dice here.
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Who wants to place wagers as to what they think 18z GFS looks like?
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Is there any known studies or has history taught us as to which model usually handles western ridges better? That seems to be playing a factor as well unless someone with more knowledge and experience corrects me?
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Dude.. i've never seen you so pessimistic on here before. There is literally no way to know which camp is right at the present moment. Can you look at past known biases? Sure.. Until the model war resolves itself either one could be correct. The GFS did score quite a few wins against the EURO here more recently, so there's that as well since the last upgrade of the GFS.
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God that’s like the NOGAPS back in the day.. between it and the UKIE with like 60 hrs before the storm they’d be 500 miles southeast of everything else and then all of a sudden magically swing several hundred miles northwest and start to lock in.
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haha!!! I just like to use that word when something is in lockstep. I’m being silly.
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I will say with this setup this plays into the hand of the Euro having a tendency struggling with n/s energy and dumping it too far west, ala San Diego going from extreme cold to extreme warmth. GFS ain't perfect by any means but with the ensembles violently agreeing, it gives me a little more hope it ends up projecting something close to reality. Beyond that, man.. all out bombogenesis as it heads from MYR to ILM and then the VA Capes.
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Ukie vs GFS same time frame HR144
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Ukie Vs. GFS same time frame 144hrs
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168 looks really nice. Great trends today!
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Western ridge really helping to pump things up at 162..
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GEFS looking sexy as well. VERY well respected met in the New England forums also saying the NAM (yes I know it's the NAM) looks a lot more like the GFS than the GGEM.
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Big ole custom made bowling ball.. specially delivered for the Mid Atlantic crew
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What an absolute thing of beauty!!
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Just a MINOR difference lolllll. What a freaking look at 500 my dear God!
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The fart part was awesome!!
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Ready for my 12Z fine wine and dine experience, with the GFS as the main entree. Serve the dig!
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This makes me audibly laugh out loud. What a joke they’ve become. It’s too bad too because back in the 90’s they were freakin on it.
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I stand by my amped solution. Would much rather take the risk although I’m closer to the apps than some here toward the coast, however I agree with you where right now beggars can’t be choosers in our setups last couple years, so if it’s 2” then it’s better than partly sunny and bitterly cold. I also was spoiled as sh*t growing up in Northwest Connecticut, about an hour from the Mass border, so there’s that too lol.
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I like this times 10,000.. I’d rather roll the dice here and be looking down the barrel of an amped system than have some weak pos sheared out mess because the phase was never even close. Beggers can’t be choosers BUT it’s early and I’m willing to push the chips all in.
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Looking at 6z Euro out to 144 on mid Atlantic forum, the s/w diving down looks more GFS like back at 0z, whereas it’s not ejecting it as far eastward as what 6z gfs did. Also appears to be a little more neutral of a tilt, thus the hope is IF the euro continued out past 144, we would be getting “diggy”. Still a ton of time and a ton of things to change, but I will take small battlefield wins.
