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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    That was a doozy from the Euro WOW!!
  2. Buddy1987
    Any idea how UKIE’s thermals normally fare? I’ve never really paid much attention to them
  3. Buddy1987
    This is awesome!! Appreciate you getting back to me yesterday. I know the globals are too close to game time at this juncture but the GFS has been overly consistent out this way for days on end, never wavering. I do fear that LLJ as well however and am hoping we can cash in on that initial thump of WAA before any derailment of the mid levels become a factor to change over to sleet.
  4. Buddy1987
    @Disc take that in a heartbeat. Hard to bet against the GFS this year and has been the most consistent.
  5. Buddy1987
    Man that is just straight weenie weather porn. 1-2” an hour type rates as it passes over all of us. GFS almost out of range now tho as we draw closer but it seriously has been rock steady for a good 4/5/6 days
  6. Buddy1987
    Nam imo made some important steps at 500 between 21-27 with not pumping heights as much compared to 6z and a subsequent track a bit to the east with the secondary. Issue is it still wants to drive that LLJ up over the majority of us if you want an all snow type event and also drive the primary further north than some of the other guidance. That’s something I’ll be monitoring but it is a good step in the right direction to blend in with what the globals have been spitting out for days.
  7. Buddy1987
    I would love to see the sleet graphics. It would be something fierce
  8. Buddy1987
    Yea for me seeing those changes at 500 I don’t really care what the surface ends up showing because it’ll still correct. It was pretty noticeable too between 21-27 what changes were happening downstream
  9. Buddy1987
    Yea at 21 on the 500 map the heights aren’t as pumped up as they were. Really hoping for a good run here.
  10. Buddy1987
    12K Nam at 15 may be a tad bit more flat. So far I like what I’m actually seeing but knowing the Nam that doesn’t mean anything little quicker with precip push as well
  11. Buddy1987
    28 here in and around ROA area. Best part about anything in the end is we had some sort of antecedent conditions and it wasn’t 72 and sunny LOL
  12. Buddy1987
    I’m literally laying here on my side squinting you proved me wrong it isn’t much better in the end after I selected by region and zoomed in. Just have to hope it’s wrong. Most globals continued to look the same and have been rock steady for run on run on run
  13. Buddy1987
    Well 6z Nam(s) weren’t nearly as bad as the 0z debacle. Adjusted its evolution some with that primary
  14. Buddy1987
    @BornAgain13I wouldnt even look at the Canadian if I were you man. There's nothing positive that came out of it. Cut your snow totals in half and has the freezing precip vs rain line very close.
  15. Buddy1987
    @wncsnow check out this convective like band that forms on the back end of the departing ULL. That looks like it would be something fierce.
  16. Buddy1987
    GFS has been unbelievably consistent with this for several days now. I feel like if NAM ends up correcting toward a GFS type synoptic solution the thermals will adjust accordingly within reason as well. Kinda silly to see the GFS all snow in certain areas the NAM has PL/ZR, when it has one of the worst resolutions for CAD purposes.
  17. Buddy1987
    Yea it’s nuts leading up to game time here. The Nam can be the Nam for sure at times but this def gives me some cause for concern if you are rooting for wintry type weather, regardless of what you want. Need that low to transfer and lock whatever cad is still in
  18. Buddy1987
    That was about the biggest sh*t run you could have possibly had. It’s on an island for the right now moment with how it blasts the low up the apps and flips even Buffalo from snow. Icon looked much better with low progress and I’m expecting GFS to remain steady. If not most of us are probably in trouble. But let’s not get to that mindset yet.
  19. Buddy1987
    Worlds difference on ICON as it transfers to the coast long before it even remotely resembles the nams evolution. I’m assuming GFS will hold serve but man the 0z runs have kicked off with some nuttiness.
  20. Buddy1987
    That’s what I’m banking on brother. Get it in here a little earlier as it looks like that’s a possibility and take our chances that way.
  21. Buddy1987
    Yea Disc sounded the alarm late last night. That damn ULL is just screwing up everything from cooking the mid levels to punching a dry slot perilously close to WNC and western VA. I think at this point just based strictly off the nam we’d be lucky to get 3-6/4-8 before sleet ravages us. The ice storm threat is becoming a real concern for you down that way.
  22. Buddy1987
    12K Nam looks just a little quicker with wanting to push precip in
  23. Buddy1987
    Cmon guys let’s get the weenie sh*t out of here. We’re talking about the damn HRRR at 48 hours. Might as well start talking about the 240hr run of the GFS while we’re at it.
  24. Buddy1987
    I get a good laugh and then move on. WAYYYY too far out of their range. No point in looking this far out imo.
  25. Buddy1987
    I feel like the model is more screwed up than it ever has been in it’s entire existence. That upgrade just completely warped any remaining intelligence inside that thing
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