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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Very nice band starting to take shape just off to my west. Will be thee opportunity if there’s going to be one. Been watching it for about 30 min and it continues to strengthen. Temp has been going down nicely. 37/28
  2. HRRR been pretty darn consistent with that 81 band from about Blacksburg all the way up into Winchester etc Nam attempting to show something similar
  3. Nam is strictly a NW VA type short duration event.
  4. 00z HRRR delivering the goods up this way. We’ll see what the Nam has to say
  5. Good to see 18z 3k with more precip. Been running awfully dry since the upgrade awhile back.
  6. Damn! HRRR escalated things quickly although it’s long rang HRRR so I’m taking it with a grain of salt. 12z Nam was more aggressive as well so maybe I waived the white flag too soon.
  7. I don’t want to be Debbie downer but I smell a bust on this one. After seeing the 6z gfs just kinda go poof with the qpf it kinda put the nail in the coffin for me
  8. 0Z 12k Nam looking more GFS like each and every run as we draw closer.
  9. Yep was just going to literally type that. Icon looks more gfs like as well with band in SVA. I guess if I set goalpost for 2” I’d be pleasantly surprised and happy for that matter.
  10. I’m def not discounting any of that by any means. I agree with you for sure. My expectations are below tempered like basically expecting the grass to get coated lol so no disrespect taken whatsoever. I thoroughly enjoy this forum and the people that are in it. Your posts are always very fact based
  11. This is what I was alluding to. I’m so far on the nw fringe of the forum no one can really relate. Still a 2-5” type ordeal here but it’s still on an island with that.
  12. I was literally about to quote you from yesterday about this. As soon as I viewed the model and saw it I laughed bc I remembered what you had said. Never fails!
  13. Man gfs on a complete uninhabited island of its own
  14. dude 84 hr frame it’s just dumping snow down your way. That was a really nice run and 5h looked very nice as well. Better dig with the energy
  15. I hate these kind of storms man. Geographically you and I get stuck in no man’s land because southeast crew could care less about mostly cloudy skies and most of the MA crew is all around DC northern VA area hours from us so it’s like we don’t have a happy medium
  16. Where do you get access to RGEM that early? I checked pivotal and TT
  17. Lol drier than the Sahara. What a year to track models inside 100 hours side note not that it matters much but icon looks like arse as well. Not really expecting the gfs to produce here at 0z. Hope I’m wrong but trend seems to reduce qpf
  18. @BornAgain13flush hit 18z gfs I just feel like this is thread the needle needs to be perfect
  19. I find it rather comical it’s 2022 and we’re basically 4 days out and that’s what we get out of two of the biggest models to try and figure out as to whether you get nothing or 7” for my specific area. Someone correct me if I’m wrong (other than last system where GFS totally sh*t the bed) but the trend has been for the models to start to gravitate toward the gfs.
  20. CMC has been trash this year. Very disappointed in it comparatively to years past. Ukie apparently is bipolar as well. Was in lock step essentially with gfs now a nothing burger. It will trend back. I’m cautiously optimistic for WNC mountains into SVA at minimum.
  21. I actually thought the icon trended more toward a gfs like event on that specific run. I have a good feeling for today
  22. Lmao I actually thoroughly enjoy the Weather Will WB maps. Why?! No logical or scientific explanation behind it.
  23. Wrt temps my damn yard is like a frozen tundra so that wouldn’t play a factor in my mind
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