Great Snow 1717
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Everything posted by Great Snow 1717
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Its before 7:30 and I have a mail truck full of packages. We sure it's not December 23rd? Nothing says Christmas weather like a warm rainstorm...
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Little did I realize but.....
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Certainly plays a significant role. .....and it is underestimated by some. Larry Cosgrove has mentioned it is an important consideration when developing a seasonal forecast.
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We are going to have to respectfully disagree on biases influencing forecasts.
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Play your cards right and Santa may bring you the childrens book and a 6 Pack of Polar Vortex!!..... Edit:...see post below!!
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Government agency not a private weather forecasting company or a private forecaster...
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Rarely because such forecasts do not generate much interest. And they do not generate website hits. It's no secret that winter weather in general is hyped to a very large degree. "Polar Vortex to Assault Eastern 2/3 of nation".....99 percent of people think Polar Vortex is a specialty drink made with Russian vodka...
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It isn't panic at all....just take a look at what the overall pattern has been producing for months...once again there isn't a single sign of a dramatic pattern change....and every year we also go through people insisting it is going to be a cold/snowy winter...
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The majority of people that produce a winter forecast are biased towards cold/snow so their bias hampers them to look at things without the bias impacting their forecast(s)...many also downplay the impact of climate change.
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You are setting yourself up for disappointment...
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That certainly will not be taking place in SNE. I have never seen so many trees with leaves on them. In this area the leaf drop is at least 3 weeks late.
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...well it is approaching mid november and there is not a single sign of a dramatic pattern change that is going to be required. There has been very few cold fronts all fall. Near record to record warm temps.
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by 12/10 that may be the theme......
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unfortunately some days it is just Great Snow 1717....
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Agree. ....the word great doesn't apply.
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Let me know when you "see" any real cold air.....
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Truckloads....
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If you think that looks good....
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Agree
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As things stand right now it would be difficult to argue the opposite.
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Exactly because warm rules the climate....sad but true.
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Agree
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On pace for near record to record warm fall...sure does remind me of 76-77 alright lol
