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Windspeed

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Everything posted by Windspeed

  1. Windspeed
    You can already see suspect upstream cells organizing that will lead downstream into the region of concern. We're no where near out of the woods.
  2. Windspeed
    Brian Emfinger's drone footage of the tornado near Silas, Alabama: https://www.facebook.com/PhotojournalistBrianEmfinger/videos/amazing-close-range-tornado-via-drone/921564038673445/
  3. Windspeed
    Circulation looks to be getting stronger.
  4. Windspeed
    Things are ramping in MS and AL fast. A second PDS Tornado Watch incoming for areas north and west of the current one.
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  7. Windspeed
    Hurricane Committee discusses record-breaking 2020 season, plans for 2021
  8. Windspeed
    Not to completely divert off-topic here but I think we can colonize with domes and perhaps even produce atmosphere before we can forcefully manipulate the randomness of chaotic liquid flow eddies between low and high pressure systems. Perhaps even being able to make a planet breathable before we can control the thermal-coupled dynamics between the Earth's oceans and resultant drivin lapse rates into its atmosphere. That is some serious crazy physics control at that point that might not come into human or AI control until far later into advancements of space exploration and settlement that we are a long ways off from achieving. Take a planet like Venus, for example. Yeah. Yikes. We've got a long way to go before we can simply snuff out a macro system like a Category 5 hurricane.
  9. Windspeed
    If humans or its resulting AI civilization doesn't extinguish / destroy itself, it is hypothetically possible that some sentient intelligence will be able to control the planet's weather at some point in the distant future. However, in the shorter term, it is likely unachievable from an macro engineering scale and far more realistic that we merely take better actions to protect coastal communities and advance their preparedness. I mean, that is if you even give any credence or thoughts to the Kardashev scale.
  10. Windspeed
    U.S. federal territory is now included in landfalls. Probably should have always been if costing American citizens / taxpayers direct to indirect casualties and economic impacts. That being said, PR may end up being an actual state at some point anyway. As for the late season fireworks, other than the outrageous 2017 Cape Verde season, seasons over the past decade have seemingly experienced intense hurricanes at a later date. I am a little reluctant to say it is entirely due to climate change because this might be an episodic cyclical period that has occurred in previous centuries or beyond the scope of good shipping reports / meteorological data. However, I am not saying it isn't due to climate change. There are a lot of variables and perhaps climate change is having an influence on mid-season / early Cape Verde seasonal shear patterns that wanes later in September, allowing for an active October. Perhaps it has just been a stretch of bad luck in randomness or statistical probability? I still expect seasons like 2004 and 2017 for a more atypical active Augusts and early September CV season. There is no doubt the overall trend has swung later into the season at least on a recent decadal timescale however.
  11. Windspeed
    Yeah this unfortunately has the look of at least an EF3. Definitely a sigtor event.
  12. Windspeed
    Where are you located,@jaxjagman ?
  13. Windspeed
    Wow... Jeez...
  14. Windspeed
    Ugh...
  15. Windspeed
    73 dBZ on that squally linear cell south of Tellico Plains.
  16. Windspeed
    Suspicious rotation near Germantown.
  17. Windspeed
    Bristol picked up about a .5-.75". Was pouring pretty good there for a bit to make the roads covered and slick. It was fun getting into work. [emoji854]
  18. Windspeed
    Pouring in Bristol now. Early radar echoes all seemed mostly virga, but now seems like the column has moistened up enough for some moderate flakes. A nice surprise!
  19. Windspeed
    Not going through the entire modern historical record, but it's not frequent. These are the most recent years that the North Atlantic Basin had higher ACE than the NW Pacific Basin. 1998 1999 2010 2017 2020 Interestingly, the two other hyperactive seasons in the Atlantic, 2004 and 2005, got stomped by the WPAC.
  20. Windspeed
    Model evolution / trends over the past 12 hours are definitely swinging towards a major snowstorm event for the eastern half of the Valley. Also extreme SWVA to Roanoke looking better to avoid a potential sharp cuttoff around KTRI. I suppose I am cautiously optimistic now. See if this can hold serve on the next few runs to gain confidence.
  21. Windspeed
    [emoji102]
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  23. Windspeed
    That 12z ECMWF run has peaked my excitement. I have been cautiously optimistic but now I am in full hype mode. I feel conservatively 3" is now a safe call for KTRI. Edit: Meh, maybe 2-3" would be the safe call.
  24. Windspeed
    Make that a Cat 5 on the Aussie scale. [emoji102] JTWC presently has it at 110 kts and expectss further intensification. Should reach a high end Category 4(Saffir-Simpson) prior to land interaction.
  25. Windspeed
    This is a pretty big deal and thought it should go here.
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