mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Eps 0z snowfall mean. Large distribution this run. Breathing room.
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This post from Saturday compared the change from Friday. Yesterday's were even colder. Instead of posting all the maps, here's a link to the weeklies. You can see the incredible change starting week 2 with now below normal over a large area of the Conus. And there are no longer any weeks AN. Don't freak over week 1, as it has looked that way for days. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202502020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502100000
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2/14
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Never heard of Mike Thomas, so no idea if his "opinion" is worth anything.
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This year has seen big time blocking already, so a return is credible imho unlike previous years.
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Crummy AI run. Nothing much to see in MA or NE. Lot of threats off the coast again. Fugetaboutit.
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Wrong
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Fyi Cfs2 February precip anomaly.
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Lt rn in Hanover :-/
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Thru 2/15, if I can get at least one 6-10" event imby plus a few more lighter events, even if just an inch or 2 before or after a changeover, I'll be happy. But ensembles do suggest we'll do better than that. I think there will be more beyond 2/15 for sure unless modeling does a total aboutface.
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AI has the 12th with a good hit but not a lot more other than light snows at the start before changeover.
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Yep. This is incredible for our area when there isn't a HECS pending.
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It won't last forever, so you've got that going for you. And we all know we can do warm just fine around here, though your area takes a little longer to defrost than down here.
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A lot of people went warm/low snowfall this winter and some can't get themselves to admit in public they were wrong. Most that did, have been hanging on to the hope February will torch to bring up the 3 month average winter anomaly.
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I wish I hadn't asked.
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No maps for the 2-5" event?
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Bliz get at it. Sounds like Euro has 2 events thru day 10.
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Post more often! Lol
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Euro finally has ice for Thursday morning.
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Euro will have none of it. I think it'll cave as too many other models are dropping some snow now.
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Fixed
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Ukie for Wednesday
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Ukie likes far N MD folks and PA hicks for Wednesday.
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Unless I'm seeing things, but it looks like the Gfs and Canadian are moving, or trying to move, the SER from the traditional and former location off the SE coast to a flat ridge over the SE U.S. We'll see if that trend continues and how it may change forecasts, if at all.
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I wonder what he means by cabbage hole...
