mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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18Z AI came north and juiced up around DC/BWI. Hard to say by how much because the scale is so big (.4" - 1.00".)
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He looks like him too!
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You think too much.
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And what's wrong with that?
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I agree it's not over. I'm just scared what "over" ends up looking like.
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Yes. I posted it earlier. Scroll through until the end at 84hrs. It starts at 60hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
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Eps should be embarrassed with its silicon a$$.
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Eps
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Zr here
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18z Gem looks decent and brings snow into parts of PA. This link starts at 60hrs so scroll forward thru to the end at 84hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
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18z Gem is decent too. It starts at 60 hours. Scroll forward to 84hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
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North?
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Child's security stuffed bear.
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Not quite all we have.
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Rgem looks good for us up north, so THERE!
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AI looks a little south but not much if it is lousy graphics.
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12 hours later
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Eps looks to favor the north dor the 20/21, though this is not an exact method I'll admit.
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No. They don't figure it in and base state too hard to overcome.
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Storm on the Eps for the 20/21st heading east.
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Considering how many models shifted north for today's event from 12z runs yesterday, anything really is possible. Likelihood is a different question.
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Gefs do like the 20/21st time period.
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Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems.
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Imagine or expectation? Lol
