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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. 18z AI looks close to identical for Tuesday. Snow starts Tuesday morning around 12z and last flakes don't stop until around 12z Wednesday. Next Friday starts as snow and then turns to rain. Next Wednesday, 2/19, is much better as I said at 12z it had a chance . Pretty close to Tuesday's event.
  2. I've always wondered who the hell came up with the color scheme on WxBell snowfall maps. Once you hit 10", it gets real hard to differentiate through the shades.
  3. I wish I had a better idea what the heck is going to happen next week snow-wise.
  4. Looking at the 18z Gfs and all the threats it had and then looking at the 18z Euro, I'd bet that if that went out further we would be seeing more threats like the Gfs. Where the boundary would set up nobody knows. Don't believe me, look at this 700mb RH map at 144hrs on the Euro and Gfs.
  5. Why do you think you need a mission to drive weenies off the cliff? Lol
  6. It's why we really need to score early to mid next week because that's when we have the best High pressure to our north and cold air feeding south. Looks like the SER ruins it for us after those initial waves until maybe the longer term guidance kicks in with a tamer SER. But there's always a risk that fails too like modeling from several days ago. Oh the life of a weenie.
  7. We need that SER to calm down or it's mix precip to rain for us and snows in central PA north time after time.
  8. That's 3 great runs in a row on the AI with improvements on each one. I call that significant.
  9. There's a High up to the NNW moving east.
  10. @DarkSharkWX WxBell out yet with 12z AI?
  11. Ukie ensembles last 3 runs compared. 12z improved over 6z in most areas
  12. AI also has a coastal next Wednesday (2/19) that is light to moderate as of today, but decent looking and could be better assuming it doesn't evaporate at 18z. Lol
  13. 12z AI looks similar to 6z (6z maps posted earlier today) on temps but more qpf based on my guess.
  14. If you haven't shed a tear this year yet, let me help. That's pretty incredible even if it's wrong.
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