mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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I broke the rules, because I'm such a rebel, and posted about 2/16 and 2/20 as big storm threats in next week's thread. Easier to check them out on Pivotal or TT around 9:30.
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Gets close
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Another monster, probably the best for all parts of the forum, on 2/20. CORRECTION: It's not quite as big as I thought but it's decent. I thought I had the qpf maps on 6 hour maps but it was on 12 hour. Sorry....and shut up JI!
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I thought the same. There's only so much energy to be split between the 2 in one way or the other.
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In case anybody cares, though I know this thread is for next week, looks like there's a PD2.5. As depicted, coastal areas to best but heavy precip went west of Rt. 15.
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Part 2 of the storm is weaker, colder and all snow for most DC north.
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AI Tuesday storm kicked back north by maybe 30-40+ miles. It's a start maybe.
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Hey, if it works out, maybe your wife will agree to move south!
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Heartless bastid!
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Beggers...
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Hopefully, Eps will prevail. 120hrs for storm 1 and 144hrs for 2, or part of it.
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Orange we happy! P.s. sorta borrowed that from Bubbler
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At 120 hrs there's little doubt in my mind that the warmth to the south will put us all above freezing based on these maps as the slp passes well west of us. BUT, I'm not saying (yet) the Icon is right, though the trend toward it is there.
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North of DC loses with the Icon. But the Icon also says everybody's snow gets washed away, soooo...
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The Icon says you get around 4" before it's washed away, while I only get 2-2.5" before it gets washed away.
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Speaking of which....18z Icon. Lol
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Not that Nam will be right, but at typical 3:1 sleet ratios, that's about 2-2.5" imby. At least some of that should last until Tuesday, so any snow that falls will accumulate immediately.
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Except for a little snow, Nam says all this qpf falls as sleet imby.
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Been a while since I experienced a big old sleet storm. But most modeling says that's what's coming here.
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Most modeling is getting the Mjo wave into the right phases faster than just a day or 2 ago.
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12z Gefs looks to end on a familiar pattern to this year, if not better.
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Could be worse. Euro had most of ENE getting from 40"-50"+ on Tuesday or Wednesday over 1 run, and now they'll be "lucky" to see 20". Double lol
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Once any weenie sees double digits, anything less will not do! Are you with me people...ARE YOU WITH ME!!!!!? lol
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They as in modeling. Ukie is certainly best case, but the other medium range models are not showing double digits and the Euro is now under 6" for even us "southerners" for Tuesday. Thursday is looking warmish down here but better north.
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Depends on one's definition of rock and roll.
