mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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6z AI another scraper and ever so slightly less qpf.
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6z AI another scraper and ever so slightly less qpf.
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I can't disagree, but considering the crowd, I thought 5 was the outer limit. Lol
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6z Euro is not as amped, but that looks to me to be because it's slower. It won't matter what it shows in a few hours so not worth worrying about.
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I posted in the MA that models didn't come to the general correct idea (centered south of us) of yesterday's storm until Thursday of last week; basically 5 days prior. We're going to need to wait until this weekend and are in that 5 day period. Modeling outside of 5 days really is garbage 95% of the time.
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0z was better in that it was a scraper vs a total whiff at 18z. 6z will be out at 8. I'll share.
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Like I said yesterday, although scrutinizing models is what we do 24/7, we're really not going to get any sort of reliable consensus until the weekend.
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As great as the Euro was, the 0z Eps snowfall has a familiar "stink" to them. Lol
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Was last night's Gem posted for next week?
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Euro remains stubborn for Saturday denying those south of central PA of any accumulations. But it seems to be on its own.
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It isn't, but I think it's more that it's slower than 0z. Tpv is north of 0z moving south and the vort off of Maine is further west.
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No, that's not out until 2/25.
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Well, coastal NC and SE VA get hit, so I stand corrected.
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There never was a 12z. They only posted an 18z. That said, 18z is a total miss. Seriously. Only thing interesting is the end of the run that'll likely be gone in 6 hours.
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Yes and no. The BN temps raise expectations naturally that are then fed with snow crazy modeling. It's average down your way while I'm 43% of average. I should be the one complaining...so I will. I can't remember a more frustrating winter.
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I like to look at 700mb RH and it does look like a slight improvement.
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Meh, too much cold for inland folks.
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Not our year. Last year was vs DC/BWI.
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I just checked. Lol Nope
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Eps
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18z Gefs understandably not as good as 12z, but not bad.
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What are we supposed to do? Ask for a refund?
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Short end of the stick again. No worries. Snowfall distribution like that never happens.
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They didn't say.
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Euro 12z
