mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Nam 84 hrs https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025021200&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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This is 3 runs in a row it's looked nearly identical to the 18z run...maybe 4. Too early to get fired up, but if it does change for the better, it will just pick a random run and then stick with it. Give it until at least Friday.
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The stuff that was/is over Ohio has made it east and filled in. Back to a steady light accumulating snow. See it on this radar. I would think/hope some of it moves further north too. https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/nemetro/
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To be fair, the AI had a decent storm in 1 run and it does move around a lot post 5 or 6 days. My biggest concern is the -5 AO. We still could get crushed, who knows. But I've wasted a lot of time on phantom ensemble storms this year with a low rate of return. And what makes it really sting is that we're BN on temps. More salt in the wounds. I'm not going anywhere yet, of course, but I'll be damned if I'm having any fun with this "hobby."
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I have about an inch, so don't lose too much sleep over it.
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18z AI still is a miss next week with light stuff onshore and a big storm offshore that clips ENE.
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The laaaaaaaaaaatest information says snow lovers are screwed again...
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Back to big flakes mixing in and radar isn't indicative of it.
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Looks like another impulse over Miss/Louisiana heading NE. https://cyclonicwx.com/floater/us/ir/
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I was under it for about 20 minutes., but it's just past.
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Euro not biting on the Saturday and Sunday Gfs snow threats fwiw. But Gfs has done well with today's storm insisting that heavy streak of snow in southern and central VA, so who knows.
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Just gunna post that. This radar has a wider picture. It's going to boost accumulations for sure and is probably what the models were seeing to come up with their 3"+ totals. https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/
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All I see at 18z Gfs is my worst fear again. Ready to kick this winter in the nuts and root for spring to be honest. Been chasing threats since December with 11+" to show for it.
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Got to go to Harrisburg north for decent stuff on Sunday.
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It's there on Gfs
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I have 1/2" now
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Last run of Rap is like 4"+. Lol
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My friend in Salisbury is getting crushed right now per traffic cams. What a winter they've had.
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Just saw the NWS knocked me down to 1-2" overnight.
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Looks like snow developing in Southern Ohio and N WV will be aimed at us. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=ILN-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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Good news because radar looks like carp as DT would say.
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Lt/mod snow in Hanover... not that any of you care you lucky bastids!
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I got around 7" in Linthicum, but knew south of me got screwed. Went down 97 to Annapolis and by the time I got to Parole Plaza it was a coating.
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Steady light snow with ground, roofs, and cars getting covered.
