mitchnick
-
Posts
26,286 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mitchnick
-
More members west of the mean than east. Seems like a few far east members may be pulling the mean east.
-
One positive I see on the 0z Eps is that the bulk of the slp members are west of the mean.
-
I have a chance of snow in my forecast fwiw.
-
That's the problem with getting the storm up to us.
-
Ukie ensembles just out says it's a fairly even distribution with a slight favor on the eastern half of the forum.
-
6z Gefs isn't congrats DC.
-
The screw was tightened a half a turn more.
-
I agree. It's tiresome, but last year DC had a few inches for the whole winter and BWI didn't do much better. I had almost 20". Payback is a biatch.
-
6z AI another scraper and ever so slightly less qpf.
-
6z AI another scraper and ever so slightly less qpf.
-
I can't disagree, but considering the crowd, I thought 5 was the outer limit. Lol
-
6z Euro is not as amped, but that looks to me to be because it's slower. It won't matter what it shows in a few hours so not worth worrying about.
-
I posted in the MA that models didn't come to the general correct idea (centered south of us) of yesterday's storm until Thursday of last week; basically 5 days prior. We're going to need to wait until this weekend and are in that 5 day period. Modeling outside of 5 days really is garbage 95% of the time.
-
0z was better in that it was a scraper vs a total whiff at 18z. 6z will be out at 8. I'll share.
-
Like I said yesterday, although scrutinizing models is what we do 24/7, we're really not going to get any sort of reliable consensus until the weekend.
-
As great as the Euro was, the 0z Eps snowfall has a familiar "stink" to them. Lol
-
Was last night's Gem posted for next week?
-
Euro remains stubborn for Saturday denying those south of central PA of any accumulations. But it seems to be on its own.
-
It isn't, but I think it's more that it's slower than 0z. Tpv is north of 0z moving south and the vort off of Maine is further west.
-
No, that's not out until 2/25.
-
Well, coastal NC and SE VA get hit, so I stand corrected.
-
There never was a 12z. They only posted an 18z. That said, 18z is a total miss. Seriously. Only thing interesting is the end of the run that'll likely be gone in 6 hours.
-
Yes and no. The BN temps raise expectations naturally that are then fed with snow crazy modeling. It's average down your way while I'm 43% of average. I should be the one complaining...so I will. I can't remember a more frustrating winter.
-
I like to look at 700mb RH and it does look like a slight improvement.
-
Meh, too much cold for inland folks.
