mitchnick
-
Posts
28,635 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mitchnick
-
Eps lost its luster.
-
Euro is just a bad dream.
-
Icon would have been further north this run if it extended beyond 120hrs. That Lakes vort showed up unlike 12z and 700mb RH was noticeably further north. Heights along the coast were higher too.
-
It took you 575 posts to finally figure out we have issues? You need to concentrate harder.
-
By 4/1, we will be tired of precip. Droughts always end in floods or near flooding. Jmho
-
It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it.
-
Just a slight over adjustment. It'll be back next run.
-
Idk, all but a handful of Eps members has the slp in a decent location. In fact, just a few that are way ots skew the mean. We'll see.
-
Eps. More to come after this too.
-
Incredible how seasonal trends can hold on, whether in reality or on modeling.
-
Did you just call him a ground hog?
-
"Could be"....The typical way to make a forecast leaving yourself an out if it fails, which would never happen, of course, since MJO 20-30 day forecasts are always accurate. I suspect you've got to pay those people if you want a real forecast.
-
Seems like mother nature is doing her best to pad the snow stats of central and southern VA, but even she can fail too with rain getting in the way.
-
6hr snowfall on 18z Eps at 144hrs. Nothing in our area before that hour.
-
Yeah, delay usually means denied unless there's a northern stream heading down to deliver a fresh dump of cold. But since it's all we've got at this point, we give up our seats on the lifeboat and wait safely on board the Titanic for the Carpathia to arrive.
-
18z Euro a little cooler than 12z with slp a bit further south and slightly weaker.
-
Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
mitchnick replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe something like this at 366hrs on the GfsAI run. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=aigfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2026020918&fh=366 -
GfsAI a little further south than 12z . Temps ever so slightly cooler because it's a touch south. Probably not snow south of MD/PA line and dubious imby verbatim as well.
-
They're not that bad. 1 week AN temps, next week. Several weeks around normal temps to slightly BN and normal or close to AN precip.
-
Eps favors Canadian
-
By classic, do you mean Chuck Berry, Page or Hendrix?
-
Who's giving up? We're too stupid to use common sense.
-
They lost the Superbowl, so we can always remind them of that.
-
Never mind
