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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Eps looks to favor the north dor the 20/21, though this is not an exact method I'll admit.
  2. No. They don't figure it in and base state too hard to overcome.
  3. Storm on the Eps for the 20/21st heading east.
  4. Considering how many models shifted north for today's event from 12z runs yesterday, anything really is possible. Likelihood is a different question.
  5. Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems.
  6. You said Tuesday, so I didn't look past 6z Wednesday.
  7. I don't see anything near 3 inches for Tuesday in PA unless you're including today.
  8. Evolution is different so it's a day or so later. We know it will not be right and will join the other modeling, which ain't so hot. Needless to say, my positive attitude remains positive...positive we'll get screwed out of anything decent that is. Lol
  9. So that takes us to 2/24 meaning our AN precip month yields most of us less than 10" of snow if the Gfs is right on all scores.
  10. Anything anywhere for round 2 before it craps the bed?
  11. Gem may be a crap model, but I'll take it's solution du jour for next weekend. Remember though, it's an imby hobby!
  12. Ughh. My daughter has it after her 3 little kids had it. Hope you feel better. It seems to be short lived.
  13. A slightly different version of the worst case scenario.
  14. I prefer to somehow ruin their day out of unadulterated spite.
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