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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Now I'm stuck staying up for the Euro. Ughh
  2. Yeah, it decided to dump almost 2" at 162hrs and an inch+ the next 6 hours, so it's almost caught up to 18z. About .5" less.
  3. Gefs at 156hrs are already different from 18z, so they can change fast too.
  4. Hard to believe these operational runs in light of the ensembles.
  5. Ukie is a miss to central VA but the evolution is different.
  6. Won't be surprised if Gem has a round 2.
  7. Gfs is probably overdoing the 1st wave which then pulls the boundary south. No other model has it that I recall.
  8. AI is back. Still a bit light on qpf, but that'll surely change over the next few runs I bet.
  9. Forget the AI outside of 3 or 4 days. Seriously.
  10. It only goes out to 168hrs. Here's the map.
  11. Ukie looked a lot like them too and 12z Icon wasn't far off either.
  12. Rest of the run snowless? I see a storm in the Gulf at day 14 or so.
  13. Different models for different events. There have only been 2 storms.
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