mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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1042 High in southern Ontario is a lifesaver.
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That actually causes a bit of discord with me.
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Those who want to be under the heaviest snow.
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Another day, another colder solution on the weeklies. Forget about week 1, it's the rest of the weeks thru 3/10. Scroll thru at this link. If you want to compare prior days, touch the 3 lines to the right of "Select Dimensions." https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202502030000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502100000
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AI is back with a hit. Still a little east which hopefully changes because plenty of cold. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202502031200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502121200
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Gefs snowfall mean
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I agree the result won't be the same, but it is likely the last time we saw a 24hr snowfall mean like that.
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Only 3-5"
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That's what I was thinking and that's why I asked. I didn't want to be the one to say it! Lol
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Anybody remember seeing this kind of 24 hour ensemble snowfall mean on the Eps on a 8-9 day threat?
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Love the way the Gfs seemingly finds different ways to snow on this run. Lol
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I didn't bother to post it because it was basically a miss. AI is a little unstable outside of 5 days the more I look at it as 0z it was a hit.
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Geez...you make my post sound like the prayers of a guardian angel.
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They all say 10:1, so I would say yes. But they are low when ratios are higher, so it likely comes close to balancing out.
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Nice knowin' ya'! J/k...you'll be fine.
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Geps 0z snowfall mean closer to Eps.
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6z Gefs snowfall mean. Odd how Eps are better than the Gefs that is usually the weenie of the 3 ensembles.
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Eps 0z snowfall mean. Large distribution this run. Breathing room.
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This post from Saturday compared the change from Friday. Yesterday's were even colder. Instead of posting all the maps, here's a link to the weeklies. You can see the incredible change starting week 2 with now below normal over a large area of the Conus. And there are no longer any weeks AN. Don't freak over week 1, as it has looked that way for days. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202502020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502100000
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2/14
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Never heard of Mike Thomas, so no idea if his "opinion" is worth anything.
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This year has seen big time blocking already, so a return is credible imho unlike previous years.
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Crummy AI run. Nothing much to see in MA or NE. Lot of threats off the coast again. Fugetaboutit.
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Wrong
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Fyi Cfs2 February precip anomaly.
