mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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And that fast, first flakes.
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Radar just filled in over mby in a matter of 15 minutes. Should start to see some flakes here and to my west very soon. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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Everything on Rap from this morning thru Monday.
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Best ensemble snowfall and agreement of the year, if not century if you consider there'sno one identifiable, imminent threat..literally! 0z Eps, Geps, and Gefs in that order.
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3k not as far west, but west of 18z.
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I'm not disagreeing per se, there were some other comments and I just wanted to explain my brief post. To jump 10 degrees from 12z was enough to fook us was my only point. But, it'll be different come 0z, so fook it again!
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3k Nam also with 2.5"
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0z Rap likes us too!
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Yeah, look how the 0z Hrrr loves Hanover with those 2.5" dabs.
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It's very warmish. 18z had us in the mid and Upper 40's and 12z had us in the mid to upper 30's. I couldn't explain my post because I was walking into a meeting. 12z had a 1-2" event for many, but with temps 10 degrees warmer, hence my comment that it fooked us.
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18z euro fooks us at the end of the run.
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AiGfs looks juicy. I think it's mostly snow away from the beach?
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Flurries imby fwiw
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Look at radar. Snow aloft. Looks and feels like it too. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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I'm trying to get myself from looking beyond 24 hours before this "hobby" kills me! Lol
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Rap looks nice for many.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mitchnick replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maybe if the Gfs could pump out multiple runs in a row showing similar results, it could be believed. The run-to-run inconsistencies are abhorrent. And in case you're wondering where I got that word, my wife has been using it a lot lately. -
Nam replacement
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3k Nam closer to reality probably.
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One at a time! Lol
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Like steaks in a crummy restaurant...a bit overdone.
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Gotta hand it to the 2 Canadians. They've had this threat for days with only minor adjustments.
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I'll take it, but I've never seen a system like this with snowfall inland. More typical of a coastal snowfall signature.
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Might have to start taking the RRFS A a little more seriously. Last night's 0z and the 6z snowfall pattern were near identical to the 0z and 6z Euro.
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0z Eps and Geps snowfall pattern at 360hrs sure look similar to me. Never saw that before. And no detailed dissection of the snowy 6z Gfs? Lol
