mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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12z Hrrr at 17hrs looking further west than 0z.
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You can see the heavy back edge on radar too.
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Sun came up but it's darker than 1/2 hour ago.
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Suddenly snowing heavy. The most temperamental storm ever!
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Winds are from the s/se, and we're fighting dry air? Wtf?
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Only way to describe this "event" is goofy.
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Unless we get some serious back building (and fast!), looks like it ends sooner than later.
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Snowing hard now.
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Definitely dry air. There can be no other explanation. Fwiw, Rap and Hrrr still show 1"+ on their latest runs. So there's that, I suppose.
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I love how the Euro completely pulled the threat it was advertising at 150hrs at 12z and 144hrs at 18z on last night's 0z run (it's not there on 6z either.) So I feel even more confident than yesterday in saying the Euro fooked us again. Lol
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The Euro was never so gung ho. It's right when it says no, and rarely right these days when it says yes.
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Same here. Trying to figure out what's going on short of just an old fashion screwgy.
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With all the operational runs showing a miss to the south, ensembles have yet to support them no matter which model is showing it.
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Lol. No sooner, and steady flakes have started.
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It metered out here. There's got to be a dry layer eating it. Once it moistens, it'll come down pretty good considering radar returns.
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And that fast, first flakes.
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Radar just filled in over mby in a matter of 15 minutes. Should start to see some flakes here and to my west very soon. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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Everything on Rap from this morning thru Monday.
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Best ensemble snowfall and agreement of the year, if not century if you consider there'sno one identifiable, imminent threat..literally! 0z Eps, Geps, and Gefs in that order.
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3k not as far west, but west of 18z.
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I'm not disagreeing per se, there were some other comments and I just wanted to explain my brief post. To jump 10 degrees from 12z was enough to fook us was my only point. But, it'll be different come 0z, so fook it again!
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3k Nam also with 2.5"
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0z Rap likes us too!
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Yeah, look how the 0z Hrrr loves Hanover with those 2.5" dabs.
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It's very warmish. 18z had us in the mid and Upper 40's and 12z had us in the mid to upper 30's. I couldn't explain my post because I was walking into a meeting. 12z had a 1-2" event for many, but with temps 10 degrees warmer, hence my comment that it fooked us.
