mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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That's a heck of a commute.
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I really didn't read the post, just saw the town and wondered where it was.
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Dang. I just looked. You're closer to NJ than the Chesapeake Bay.
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6hrs snowfall off latest Sref. Pretty far north. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=sn10_006h-mean-imp&rh=2026012015&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Now aren't you just better than everyone else.
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That 2nd part from the u/l low is where you'll potentially see the 20:1 stuff.
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This is 6z same time. That trough in Canada is further south this run and looks a bit stronger. That could be messing up the full phase for now.
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Close enough at this range though.
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Part 2 will have terrific ratios.
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We haven't had the MJO shift to Niño phases until now.
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The sole purpose of the Gfs is to torment JI.
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Tough crowd lol
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Doesn't stop until Monday morning or Noon.
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And we love you too GGEM.
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Looks to be long duration too
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Icon trough not as strong or neutral as 6z Euro, so it doesn't prolong precip like Euro would...give it time and it will change.
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Icon looking like 0z GGEM
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At 81hrs, Nam incredibly similar to 6z Euro
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Note the trajectory is more sw/ne. That's great to see.
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Eps Snowfall. North creep continues. 0z on bottom for comparison.
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Euro 144hrs 700mb RH map. Southwesterly winds pumping in Gulf moisture all the way back to central Missouri. Yeah...it's gunna' keep snowing for a while after the 144hr panel.
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If you look at the progression of the Euro, it brings the northern stream trough down with a delay that allows the Baja low to fully ejected and the 2 combined/phased are what we get with that 5H anomaly map I posted.
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At 144hrs, the slp is sitting over Nags Head with the 50/50 feeding in cold air and the midwest trough pulling in the Gulf moisture while the slp is sorta stuck. Oh boy!
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And look where the main trough is! It's going to be snowing for a while after that and ratios will be 2/10/10-like potentially.
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Euro another small tick slower this run.
