mitchnick

If everyone recalls, the January 20 event that screwed the metros were originally showing the storm to form on the first front and not the trailing Arctic front. JB insisted it would form on the Arctic front and it did, which caused it to be warm in areas to the Metros and burbs south and east. If this follows suit, we could have a winner with the Nams. In that case it was only the Canadians that showed it on the Arctic front for days before. They then started to give in but not to the extent of other modeling.

Still snowing too

Still snowing too

Last one

Higher heights at 55 and 57 hrs on east coast I ast.

Higher heights continue on Nam at 57hrs. I'll be surprised if this is bad.

Nam has higher heights onbthe east coast this run at 54hrs

Wildcard rain are nuts here.

JB update This is really pretty interesting. The better the upper air pattern goes with the negatives coming right through the slot, the further out the model pushes the storm. Well at the very least if it’s right I’ll get to see something that I can’t recall seeing. That kind of negative should produce an I 95 blizzard DC to Boston So the call from February 11 remains if I have to change it I’ll change it on Tuesday because until this feature comes out of the Rockies I’ve said too many of these flip flop around. If you’re standing on the ledge don’t jump off yet Last edited12:50 PM · Feb 16, 2025 from Pennsylvania, USA

Completely losing the ridging out front.

AI east again

In case you were wondering how different the Nam looked to the Euro at 84hrs.

Euro looks like the others and not the Nam.

The AI was better for mby and Metros. Lol

Any bets on which way the Euro goes? Nam or everything else? Lol

How I hate wind...personally and meteorologically.

Discussed earlier.

I hope it melts before the winds arrive.

Icon and Rgem are bad this run.

If you put this Composite Radar loop in motion, you can see how the tpv over the midwest sucks the precip back NW. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=refcmp&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=

That what I said earlier this morning.

I'll take this composite radar.