mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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6z Icon back in bigtime with 8-12" 6z Gfs 8-12" too. Everything is in but the Euro.
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Don't think there's any substantial changes thru 90hrs on Euro that suggest a different result had it gone out further. That's not ti say that the Eps will be the same, so we'll see how they turn out. EDIT: 90hrs has the large western vortex a touch west per Pivotal. Could just be a distinction without a difference. Who knows.
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Ahh. I have no problem discussing differing opinions. I have no problem with people disagreeing with me. Nobody knows for certain any of this stuff...except may HM. Lol Man I miss his posts.
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? What did I miss
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I now see what ur saying. It's impossible to say for certain as there's no watly to prove it, but the western vort alone could do the job if the first 1 was gone. In fact, it might have less interference. But again, pure speculation. Regardless of how, it seems like all models now show the storm except for the Euro's 12z run. Methinks that changes and will be reflected on the Eps if not the 18z operational.
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12z Gefs vs 18z Gefs
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I don't see it at that. There are 2 short waves. The first one off the se coast weakens and the 2nd comes along from the southern Plains and scoops energy left from the first.
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Not the Etax, but it is the 18z Ggem. Just a tad slower than 12z, not unlike the Gfs, but it otherwise looks identical to 12z.
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Let me see...let me see I can't put my finger on it right now, but I'll get back to you. Trust me.
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I got 10.46", you cheatin' bastid!
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Need to check wind too.
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18z looks a little south of 12z at 90hrs, but not by much. But for paranoia, I wouldn't have mentioned it.
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Euro and Icon were pretty similar at 12z. Hopefully that continues with the 18z runs.
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I'm in the 4.5" stripe on Pivotal Kuchera fwiw.
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Better than 12z nothing and a big step back. Still 4 days so there's time. Also, decent ratio snow probably.
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I "think" Icon will be better, but no guarantees on how much assuming I'm right.
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Comparing 18z Rgem (top) at 84hrs to 12z Ggem at 90hrs Precipitable Water. You can see the difference. 18z Nam looks like 18z Rgem too.
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I think 18z Nam puts him back to sleep with suppression as its height field looks a lot like the Euro at 90hrs.* *-not extrapolating...comparing the 2 at the same time!
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Euro loses the storm like the Icon. At least for 1 run, Icon is as good as the Euro.
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Ukie sobers up.
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Lol. Where have I seen that Canadian snowfall map?
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Believe me, you'll find no money in those panels. I think Gfs will be better than 6z
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Somebody forgot to tell the Icon there's supppsed to be a storm next week.
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Who would ever look at those maps?
