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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. They're about 20-25 minutes to my north and I got maybe a tenth of an inch.
  2. The thermometer is not far west from the end of a runway. Being to the west of a concrete and asphalt area of approximately 1 square mile with a SE'ler flow is going to result in some artificially warmer temps, not to mention the heat from multiple lines of revving jets waiting to take off. That's not to say it wasn't a hot summer, but BWI is a microclimate.
  3. Eps from yesterday keep the bulk of the precip along and east of I83 fwiw.
  4. You may be forgetting last summer how I kept just missing everything. I probably had about an inch in July and maybe a little more than that in August. That said, all I'm getting are a few sprinkles. It is oh so close to my south.
  5. Looks pretty consistent to me when you go back further in history. We're in a warming period. Nbd.
  6. I have a house in Southern Shores the 2nd week in September. I never buy the insurance because you need to be kicked out for at least 2 days before it's worth it. I'm looking at the MJO progs and they're suggesting we should be seeing an increase in tropical activity but this surge should "hopefully " be over by the 1st week of September. We'll see.
  7. Niñas are notoriously dry in the Mid Atlantic, so that's no surprise to me. But the Cansips has yellow of varying degrees all over the Conus, which is surprising to me. Usually, the Ohio Valley is AN during Niñas. That said, I think the 5H anomaly maps have the most value at this point, so for me the Cansips is more for discussion sake than a verbatim temp/precip forecast, though equatorial Pacific precip maps can have some value.
  8. I've been watching since I left. Monday was nothing. Yesterday had a storm roll through, but the main area of heavy stuff hit north of me. This morning's storms were intense but looked to be fast movers and small in area. I'm not spiking the ball, believe me, as you know my feelings about grass mowing.
  9. Left the house on Monday morning with an empty rain gauge. Just got back to 4.5" in it!!! Wtf? Couple of storms this morning that must have been the main culprit, though they didn't look too bad on radar. Crazy.
  10. It's pretty dry over much of the Conus thru the entire winter unfortunately.
  11. As crazy cold as the Cansips was, it's hard to have any confidence in it. That said, the updated forecast is reasonably close to what other modeling is now showing. Agree on the RONI, with a greater chance of going lower than higher imho.
  12. Yeah. We haven't seen a 7-day drop like this so far this year.
  13. And I just thought it was a crazy drunk outside the hotel. Who da' thunk.
  14. Lucky me. Can't wait. https://radar.weather.gov/station/kakq/standard
  15. OT. I dropped off my wife at Busch Gardens to meet up with my daughter, et al. If I had to park: Regular Parking - $32; Preferred Parking - $47; VIP Parking - $58. I know I'm old and remember $7 parking (with no special parking options), but those prices are beyond outrageous.
  16. They have to replace Povich with his 1 and 5 record. 22.22% win ratio is 11% better than 20% don't forget.
  17. I was watching the Yankee/Redsox game on ESPN on Sunday, and the retired pitcher who was announcing made a good point. With the change keeping starting pitchers to a low pitch count, the bullpens are getting tired with all the work they're having to do. I think we're seeing that with the Yankees, Phillies, Orioles, and Boston. Probably all the teams, but they're the only teams I've had a chance to see. They'll need to expand rosters from the start of the season to add pitchers if things are going to change.
  18. Never saw or heard of Rax in my life until the posts above. Thanks for expanding my horizon....well, sort of.
  19. Just a little reality coming to the Phillies as it came to the Yankees and Orioles. Yankees have come out of it, but for how long is the question. Orioles look like they may have some more time. Fwiw, I was a lifelong Yankees fan/Orioles hater despite my living in a Baltimore suburb for more than 60 years. Lost total interest in all sports around 20 years ago and hadn't watched more than an inning of baseball until this year when I sorta started watching baseball again....have to find something to do when you retire! If the Yankees have, in fact, shaken off their slump, they'll be hard to beat. But due to the age of their club, I doubt they'll make it through the playoffs.
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