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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Love that sig pick.
  2. mitchnick
    Definitely better up north, but models have been coming around to a decent round 2 down along the southern tier.
  3. mitchnick
    Your spot with elevation on the western slope was made for this one.
  4. mitchnick
  5. mitchnick
    I didn't know anything qualifies as bad posting there! Lol
  6. mitchnick
    That map doesn't do it justice for the southern weenies. Composite radar 84 hr Nam does!
  7. mitchnick
    Wha' happened to him?
  8. mitchnick
    You forget about a couple of brief warmups thrown in between now and next weekend, but we can certainly pray. Western PA should do pretty well with snow from that cut-off low, so we can hope he spends his time in his thread ducking arrows for a few days. A little part of me wants to troll him every hour it snows with updates from Dubois, but payback is a biatch. Lol
  9. mitchnick
    To maintain my weenie status, here's 10:1.
  10. mitchnick
    Man, and that's Kuchera too. Nishe.
  11. mitchnick
    Best run of my life. OK, so I've lived a sheltered life. Gimme a break.
  12. mitchnick
    If you live in the east and like snow, 18z Gfs gives you many opportunities to abuse substances if you're so inclined.
  13. mitchnick
    I was wondering something similar today after having eggs this morning and chicken for dinner. :p
  14. mitchnick
    There's no -Enso option, only +Enso or the one I posted. But it's my understanding the option other than +Enso is neutral or Niña. Happy to be corrected if someone has a map specific for Ninas. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html
  15. mitchnick
    Gefs puts us in Phase 6 by the first of December. Assuming an amplitude >1, we get this below. It's not that far off what the models are advertising. Unless I pulled up the wrong map, which is always possible.
  16. mitchnick
    That's a 48 hr forecast. I believe it. I thought you were talking further into the mr/lr.
  17. mitchnick
    Eps cooler for Thanksgiving than the 0z run fwiw.
  18. mitchnick
    How many knots do you consider "overpowering?"
  19. mitchnick
    Look at this link Larry. Red ink print under EP/NP. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/climateindices/list/#EPO
  20. mitchnick
    See 40/70 post above.
  21. mitchnick
    6z Eps likes the chances of most to at least see flakes in the air, if not accumulations, over the next 6 days.
  22. mitchnick
    Here's a list of all "alphabet" data indices from CPC if that's not what you were looking for. https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/
  23. mitchnick
    https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/epnp_index.tim
  24. mitchnick
    To be fair, cold advertised on the models, like that coming this week, looks pretty concrete. But there's no doubt models overdo cold and snow at mr and lr, but we'll just have to see if it's delayed or denied. I have said ever since the alleged Euro suite upgrade in 2017 that it was, in fact, a degrade. It's never been the same and is undoubtedly snow crazy in the 3-7+ day range and not a ton better in short ranges.
  25. mitchnick
    That's not to say Eps doesn't still bring in the cold.
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