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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Interesting. Maybe the next question, assuming we see the same look in early December, is whether we should bother caring what the seasonal models say. Idk. Both the Euro and Cfs2 weeklies just caught on to the cold pattern yesterday.
  2. mitchnick
    6z Gfs crapped the bed on all the threats by pushing them north. That's closer to climo so it has some merit, but everything remains on the table this far out.
  3. mitchnick
    Pouring, windy, and thunder.
  4. mitchnick
    Anybody know where the ACE ended, or soon to end? Seems like it made a last ditch save into something respectable. Thanks.
  5. mitchnick
    Turn off TWC before you go blind. Lol
  6. mitchnick
    That forecast came out on the 15th. Gefs and Geps were showing persistent cold pattern on the 12z runs of the 15th. Eps were showing average temps. Guess they didn't buy the Gefs and Geps. Eps late to the party again. They wrecked that model.
  7. mitchnick
    Just tell her you love her and everything will be fine.
  8. mitchnick
    18z Gfs has another big snow, this run starting on Thanksgiving Day. Incredible cold to follow it. Thus is crazy.... crazy good that is.
  9. mitchnick
    I would guess they want a redo in that map. P.s. I know it's for a longer period, but they clearly were not thinking temps shown on the new map for that period.
  10. mitchnick
    Ooops...that's 12z. 18z better.
  11. mitchnick
    Icon a @Bubbler86 special.
  12. mitchnick
    I've been harping on that Japan trough for a while as I believe it's key to maintaining the trough in the east. Modeling seems bent on holding it in. Otoh, I couldn't care less if it disintegrated so long as it stays cold!
  13. mitchnick
    95/96 had plenty of warm-ups, so I expect it.
  14. mitchnick
    What happened to our poster from Clearfield formerly known as Atomixwx? He should do well.
  15. mitchnick
    I can't make everybody happy with my posts!!!
  16. mitchnick
  17. mitchnick
    No smoke maybe.
  18. mitchnick
    If all those times of predicting record warmth by him is intended to break ballz, sorry, there ain't any ballz left in here to break.
  19. mitchnick
    18z modeling seeming to like that area more than ever at the expense of us southerners.
  20. mitchnick
    Thanks. Anyone have the link to those MJO composite maps? All I have are the ones from the American wx site. Thanks.
  21. mitchnick
    Won't link.
  22. mitchnick
    I pulled this off the MA forum since I don't have an X account. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1858974921260769366?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1858974921260769366|twgr^218a23fb7d50a5fcd5e2639788423433ba212012|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.americanwx.com%2Fbb%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcoremodule%3Dsystemcontroller%3Dembedurl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fwebberweather%2Fstatus%2F1858974921260769366%3Fs%3D4626t%3DJYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
  23. mitchnick
    Are there temp plots for Neutral since we're likely closer to that than textbook Niña?
  24. mitchnick
    Gefs the winner.
  25. mitchnick
    Love that sig pick.
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