mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Some T-storms starting to pop in the mts. headed SE.
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Days getting shorter starting today. I can already see the difference in this morning's sunrise with the loss of 1 second.
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After being pretty gung-ho on a mod to strong Niña, Cfs2 is looking pretty weakish. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=global&pkg=ssta&runtime=2024062006&fh=6
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Wow. I call that camping out! In summer, I have our thermostat set at 75 during the day and 72 at night. Winter it's 67 during the day and 64 or 65 at night. If my grandkids are over in the winter, I'll put it up 2 or 3 degrees. Between new attic insultation and sealing of air leakage I had a contractor do and installation of new windows, sealing, insulation of heating ducts, new exterior doors, and a variety of other insulating measures that would bore you to death I did myself, I do pretty well on heating & cooling costs.
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Uhhh...no! That's nuts. Who can sleep at 82°?
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I think you're being a wee bit too aggressive with the idea of a snowy winter.
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No, but does mean that NA Snowcover will expand rapidly in October.
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Time for this old man to do his daily 2.5 mile walk. If I never post again, you'll know why.
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Fwiw, June's Euro monthly sea level pressure forecast thru October. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_standard_mslp?area=GLOB&base_time=202406010000&stats=tsum&valid_time=202407020000
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Rapid cooling in the Pacific over the last 2 weeks. https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html
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Personally, none of that bothers me about DT. Subtract from it a lot of it intended for the shock humor value, and there's little left imho. But I do think he relies on the Euro more than one should in light of the gains in other modeling. It just ain't what it used to be relative to other guidance, at least when it comes to winter forecasting in the MA imho. But it can still score a coup or 2 which forces you to give it more weight than you should, again imho.
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Updated Euro plumes. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_nino_plumes?base_time=202406010000&nino_area=NINO3-4
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1.12"
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Heavy rains here for the past 2 hours with more to come it seems.
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Drier out your way would probably suggest High Pressure overhead. Might result in more troughiness in the east...he says with gleam in his eyes. Or maybe that's just because I woke up at 4:30.
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Nice site for solar activity. https://solen.info/solar/index.html
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Lol. Petered out on my western doorstep to light showers. Not complaining.
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1/4" from round 1 and getting ready for a drenching from that developing cluster along the MD/PA line. Bubbler should be getting rocked now.
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Nasty cell entering Carroll County MD looks to miss me to the south...thankfully.
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NC getting nasty. Warned storms under those clouds. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
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Cooking now. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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<ducks> .4" from that line last night <ducks>
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More bright orange aimed at me at 10:39pm. Hopefully it fall apart and drenches those who want/need it.
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Ended up with a hair over .8" in 30 minutes.
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Nah, I've mowed 6 or 7 times this year so far. Bad for me.
