mitchnick

Fyp. 18z Ggem.

18z Ggem nothing special. Less than 12z eyeballing it.

Like 10-10.5. The last snow had one of those streamers come right over me at the end and dropped like 1.25" that boosted me for the event.

Living on the southern edge this winter has been beyond nerve racking.

Looks almost exactly like the 12z Icon.

Closeup. I went from 2.5 - 4. S trend, however small, makes a big difference down here.

18z Gefs

Rap just came south too.

Amen to that bro, Amen.

Wow...got me up to 4" Kuchera. Big improvement.

Even if it overcorrected, moving back north 40 miles is fine with me considering where it had me before. I think most in this forum would agree.

Icon shifted south this run but not enough for those of us MDT south.

We just got purpled!!!!!

Srefs look much better on 15z vs 9z. Maybe mesos are catching us a break.

I'd feel a whole lot better if the Nam twins followed suit.

Just looking at Gefs and Geps and the MA long range thread. What a disaster those weeklies and ensembles have been, from a +PNA to -PNA and losing the -NAO to some weak higher pressures. Of course, when they started showing that ridging and warmer temps I was worried about, they look to hold that or some other snow destroying pattern. Unless that system on the Icon is real next weekend, we'll be lucky to get a March fluke, assuming the SSW is even real. Icon has the hot hand, so I'm putting what few eggs I have left after throwing so many at the wall this season in the Icon's basket.

Uncle Ukie drinking early on Super Bowl Sunday.

Gfs throws Bubbler and I a bone.

Take a look at the Icon starting 132hrs

That's why I have a disdain for ensemble forecasting, short, medium, or long. They change as much as the operational, group think with the operationals, and are hit and miss like the operationals. And "yes", I really do understand how to use them. The best you can say imho(not that anybody cares) is they are a little better in 7-10 days+ periods. The extended EPS & GEFS...lol.

Yeah. I was referring to future events. "She's Gone" ©

That should get some ENE'ers a little squeamish. Boundary temps have been killing them this year.

I just want to be "purplized" at least once this winter and then back to spring-fall hibernation.

East of Somerset and Garrett Counties.

I mistakenly posted the 144hr Ukie snowfall map which includes stuff next week. This map is just this storm.