mitchnick
-
Posts
26,299 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mitchnick
-
Ughh...daughter and her husband got sick. Nah, covid. My wife got sick day after Christmas...nah, just tested + for covid. Nothing wrong with me...physically.
-
I believe the article is referring to the technical definition of a Niña which is at least 5 consecutive trimonthly anomalies of -.5C or colder. The most recent trimonthly is only -.2C.
-
No Bubbler, this is all your fault!
-
The reason you know the cold and snow are coming is TCC is poo-pooing in the Climate Change forum the Medieval warming period never took place as he states some have written. Lol Forget the Viking ruins that show they were there for hundreds of years planting crops in a climate many, many degrees warmer than now. It's coming.
-
Sit tight. It's coming.
-
If you loop the surface map, the day 13 I95 storm loops around the tpv over the Great Lakes and looks to be circling back for a 2nd go at it. Lol https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024122800&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
-
Did you see temps the day after? Yikes! 1pm temps are still below 0 across most of the state too!
-
This is worth a listen.
-
HH Gefs ends with a fantasy map. Could any weenie have drawn that up any better?
-
You'll be missing that 47 come the 3 weeks+ after New years.
-
I agree, but the progged January can't last forever. But if I can see the snowfall the Eps are showing, I've got no problem dealing with a relax. Just hoping it doesn't mean the end of winter. Even cold winters have relaxation periods. But we may have an Ace in the hole with a SSW as So_Whats_Happening posted earlier. We'll see on that because consequences are always iffy even when they occur.
-
Snowman will be getting excited over the last week on the Eps weeklies. Finally a trough in Alaska after colder weeks 1-3. Week 2 is crazy cold now.
-
I definitely think "a" cold pattern returns, but probably not identical to what we've seen so far and what January will offer.
-
Absolutely the pattern relaxes the end of January into early February. But this year has taught 1 thing if nothing else, and that is to throw out the historically expected atmospheric responses. It seems to be on a mission of its own despite what we may think based on the analogs.
-
I wouldn't count on Maritime interference with gusto by the end of January. Most of the forecasts are slowly moving toward this Cfs forecast by staying out of the COD in phases 8-2, though the Cfs may be a bit too strong in the Indian Ocean.
.png.c34eb9a1032a5f051b6861d96612937b.png)
-
Threat is still there, but no details yet.
-
I'll see your Ensembles, and raise you the Eps weekly snow anomalies! Lol Undoubtedly, the best I've ever seen since this product has been offered by Pivotal. 3 solid weeks in a row.
-
It'll trend...It'll trend.
-
Euro AI was a little drunk for the past day or so but sobered up at 12z.
-
Ok
-
Acceptable snows on the 18z Gfs, but too far out to bother posting. Gee, I guess that means I'm not a weenie anymore!
-
Lake Marburg in Codorus is get real low again after a decent recovery in the fall.
-
18z Gfs says keep wishing againt an I-95 KU pattern...please?
-
One caveat on the possible SSW. We have had an extremely anomalous PV; hat tip to Snowman banging that drum. Notwithstanding, the shape/trajectory has not precluded the cold, and possibly enhanced it, idk. But if we get that warming as progged, that may alter the trajectory but not be enough to help the threat of cold/snow in the east. I have no control over it, obviously, but I think I'd prefer leaving 10mb alone at this point. Lol
-
Fyi. In addition to more detailed forecast info on the Ukie, Pivotal also offers for free the Ukie Ensembles in case you didn't know. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=mogrepsgens
