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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    That end of the Gem run looked like it had possibilities. But that's what this night of runs has come to I guess.
  2. mitchnick
    Kuchie
  3. mitchnick
    Looks like a poor man's Euro.
  4. mitchnick
    If that gets shredded, then the writings on the wall for the Euro. Unless the Euro is on its own by moving that monster 50/50 low.
  5. mitchnick
  6. mitchnick
    Gem has a very strong closed low. It may have a chance.
  7. mitchnick
    No way it wins with this behemoth out in the Atlantic.
  8. mitchnick
    Ocean storm is sucking it dry.
  9. mitchnick
    It really needs to keep that closed 5H low intact as long as possible to hold it together.
  10. mitchnick
    The only way for the storm to bust thru that block is with a tight, closed low, which is what the Icon had and now the Gfs.
  11. mitchnick
    At 132hrs, 0z Gfs 5H looks almost identical to 18z Euro if you can believe it.
  12. mitchnick
    Idk, Gfs seems to really be making something out of that Friday clipper, which is only going to push the boundary further south. Other models aren't doing that I don't believe.
  13. mitchnick
    From what I'm seeing, it feels the effects of the storm off the coast, which interrupts it's flow and the dynamics, so it just peters out. Storm off the coast needs to move out or vort needs to slow. But slowing the vort could leed to a whole new set of problems, known and unknown, imho.
  14. mitchnick
    Kuchie
  15. mitchnick
    Icon's a hit
  16. mitchnick
    Icon looking better at 138hrs. Should be north of 12z.
  17. mitchnick
    I see why you remembered that run and I didn't. Lol
  18. mitchnick
    At 4/day, I can't remember them all. Lol
  19. mitchnick
    Yeah, telling us we'll need to wait until the weekend.
  20. mitchnick
    Actually, I see what it did. It split the energy when it hit the coast sending a weak piece east and a stronger piece into the SW. It looks to maybe do something with that. We'll see shortly.
  21. mitchnick
    EuroAI has a lot to learn methinks.
  22. mitchnick
    Euro AI takes southern piece and spawns a coastal that is better south. Here's precip link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=qpf_024h-imp&rh=2024123018&fh=222&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  23. mitchnick
    Actually, I see what it did. It split the energy when it hit the coast sending a weak piece east and a stronger piece into the SW. It looks to maybe do something with that. We'll see shortly.
  24. mitchnick
    Actually, I see what it did. It split the energy when it hit the coast sending a weak piece east and a stronger piece into the SW. It looks to maybe do something with that. We'll see shortly.
  25. mitchnick
    Just lost the 18z EuroAI. Crushed south.
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