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Everything posted by cstrunk
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I chased the Stephenville, TX supercell - what a beautiful storm. No tornado. I'll get some pictures posted when I get a chance. *Edit - here's a sneak peak:
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Made it to Glen Rose. Headed west towards that cell SE of Abilene. Sun is out, it's hazy, and the wind is howling.
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Pulled the trigger. In Terrell now, still headed in the direction of Glen Rose. Hope to follow any supercells to the south of the Metroplex.
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I'm thinking about chasing today for the first time in forever. My target would be Glen Rose.
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If I were chasing today I'd be just south of Lawton, OK and follow storms east on the north side of the Red River. Denton, TX wouldn't be a bad place to start either.
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March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
cstrunk replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Confirmed tornado warning for Bossier City, LA. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
cstrunk replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Also not warned? *Edit - now it is. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
cstrunk replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Storms in Deep East Texas are starting to get "the look" to me. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
cstrunk replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Cells are forming in East Texas - will need to watch them to see if any of them can strengthen. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
cstrunk replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Looks like a pretty substantial W shift of the Moderate/Enhanced areas with the incoming SPC Outlook. SE edges trimmed back. -
January 2nd and 3rd Severe Weather Threat
cstrunk replied to DanLarsen34's topic in Central/Western States
I was watching when they talked about this. It was just east of Tulsa. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
Front blew threw here at 12:25 pm when the temp was 47F. Almost 40 minutes later it's 32F. Hoping for some flizzard action in ETX this afternoon! -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
A decent area of Texas and much of Oklahoma getting some beneficial rains today. Could be some severe weather, too. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
Yawn. Wake me up when September ends. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
Seems like this round is pretty much over for Longview. I ended up with 7.14". 7.10" within a 24 hour period from 3 pm Sunday to 3 pm Monday. -
4.66" at my house in Longview so far. Moderate rain continuing. Looks like 6"+ is going to be likely before the event is over. DFW got hit hard overnight with more on the way, too.
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It was modeled /forecast as 8"+ for a pretty big area of N/NE TX as of yesterday and now it's 4-6"+. I would bet it ends up being more like 2-4"+ for most of the area based on model trends and what we've seen so far. A few isolated 6"+ totals. Still very welcome moisture but it's not going to be the drought-buster it was pegged as... For most.
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Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
The clouds kept it from getting to 100F here yesterday. The high was only 97F. The rain missed us, but the huge complex in SW AR pushed out some outflow last night that felt pretty good. Another chance of rain today so I've got my fingers crossed. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
105F yesterday in Longview and we missed the evening storms by 10-15 miles. BUT storms have redeveloped early this morning and we're now getting some pretty good rainfall out of it! Already at 0.88" and counting. Other areas are easily picking up 1"-2"+. *Ended up with 1.19"! -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
Isn't there an update coming to the GFS? Maybe that'll help fix some of those warm bias issues. Otherwise at least a few folks are getting isolated storms/showers today and there are chances over the next couple of days. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
My weather station hit 104F on Saturday before a brief shower dropped a much-needed 0.18". The temperature quickly rose back to 103F AFTER that. Talk about a sauna! The Longview airport hit 107F - they missed out on any rain. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
cstrunk replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
Exactly. In 2011, Tyler, TX had: 81 total days of 100F+ temperatures. 46 straight days of 100F+ temperatures. 28 days of 105F+ temperatures. And only received about 60% of normal precipitation for a 22-month rainfall deficit that reached -33.61". We're not looking at anything quite that bad yet.
