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cstrunk

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Everything posted by cstrunk

  1. Might be something around/after New Year's Day... according to GFS.
  2. Changes coming later next week, it seems. Just in time for my wedding weekend.
  3. Pretty common in Longview. Too many trees next to above ground electric lines.
  4. I ended up with 1" on Sunday and 5.25" yesterday on the north side of Longview. The tornado warnings yesterday were something else.
  5. At my house, I got 1.00" of rain on Sunday, and 5.25" yesterday from Beryl. Yesterday was pretty wild with all of the tornado warnings in E TX and NW LA. Winds were a little gusty at times yesterday afternoon, but thankfully we only lost power once for about 20 seconds and that was all.
  6. I'm on day 8 in a row with measurable rainfall, with several multi-inch events within this span. Tomorrow morning will likely be day 9.
  7. Another MCS moving through NE Texas. Another one likely later tonight/tomorrow morning.
  8. Yeah it's been quite the stretch here. Don't think we're done yet either.
  9. It's mid-afternoon, there's a MCS diving SE from Oklahoma into huge CAPE (4000-6000 J/kg), mid-upper 70's dew points, adequate bulk shear (35-40 knots), 100-200 m2/s2 helicity, and yet it's not severe. What's holding it back?
  10. Yeah that was a nasty storm in West Texas. My post was focused on my area in East Texas, I should have been more clear. We ended up with 3.27" of rain yesterday. Just a bit of light rain this morning, 0.12" so far and I don't expect much more. I'm looking forward to some drier weather, I need to mow my lawn!
  11. Well there were a few rotating storms along I-20 in East Texas this afternoon but nothing tightened up. There was one tornado warning near Marshall, TX.Now the focus is very heavy rain. A very large flash flood warning has been issued along those same areas of I-20 for this area. Not much lightning and thunder.
  12. The enhanced risk was pretty good, but the slight risk extending up towards Texarkana was a bust. Models never really showed much north of I-10 in TX and LA, due to the substantial convection across S/SE TX and S LA... and that's what happened. Marginal risk for the northern uncertainty would have sufficed (and still not verify).
  13. I-10 special today from San Antonio through Houston later mostly for wind/very large hail. Ended up with 1.49" yesterday.
  14. 1.26" so far today in Longview and it's not quite done yet. Nice soaking rain. I think tomorrow's severe threat is going to get pushed farther south/east again. Models not looking impressive (IMO) due to lingering precip tonight/tomorrow morning across areas of eastern Texas.
  15. I agree. Looks like SPC disagreed with the Enhanced delineation in the area I mentioned... and even nudged it slightly more north. I wonder what they are seeing.
  16. The DFW area still looks to be ground zero for the supercell/hail threat this afternoon. I think the Enhanced Risk is delineated too far to the north, once you get east of there. I wouldn't be surprised if it gets trimmed back south closer to I-20 in NE TX and N LA, as opposed to extending along I-30 in NE TX to Texarkana and southern Arkansas.
  17. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0210.html Tornado watch up in Texas.
  18. Lots of supercells out there this afternoon across a wide area! Several tornado warnings as well.
  19. Friendly reminder - don't feed the trolls... just ignore them.
  20. I updated the thread title to include today, due to the updated Enhanced Risk added for NW Texas.
  21. Maybe I need to convince my boss to let me take my birthday off from work...
  22. SPC Day One Outlook (4-30-24): SPC Day Two Outlook (4-31-24): Severe storms in chaseable terrain return today and tomorrow (possibly Thursday too?). Today's threat covers areas hit hard by Friday's storms in E NE and W IA.
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