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IntenseBlizzard2014

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Everything posted by IntenseBlizzard2014

  1. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Depends on the plume type. If it's water vapor, we might have additional warming. If it's SO2, then cooling. However, the plume type might not mean much if the eruption is weak. Also, the effects aren't definitive either.
  2. IntenseBlizzard2014
    One thing that caught my attention was that the 06Z NAM had a closed-off H5 Low at Delaware's Latitude. That's probably why the snowfall pushed further inland this time.
  3. IntenseBlizzard2014
    I've been tracking East Coast Winter Storms for quite a while, and what I've seen from the UKMET was quite an eye-opener.
  4. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The 00Z GEFS looks like puke. Although, based on the latest shifts, I wouldn't be surprised if the GFS OP/GEFS made large adjustments by 06Z.
  5. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The 06Z GFS really wanted to rush the storm. The H5 vort closed off over NJ while remaining Positive tilted. This would benefit the coast quite a bit, but alas the amount of snowfall would be cut down further inland (Southern NY and NE PA) vs 00Z. Seems like EPA will get the goods on this run.
  6. IntenseBlizzard2014
    It's actually 3.5 days away.
  7. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Maybe this our chance to take a well-deserved break?
  8. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The QBO value is nearing the -5 to +5 range. The QBO value as of November 2019 is +5.07. Let's see if the QBO can go a little lower for December.
  9. IntenseBlizzard2014
    It's probably the snow growth. It's not exactly impressive area-wide. Some people are getting huge snowflakes. Others are not.
  10. IntenseBlizzard2014
    If there are disruptions on the stratospheric and tropospheric levels of the PV up north through late December, then there should be a window of opportunity through mid January into mid February.
  11. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. I'd be cautious about this one for the coast. The primary low not transferring quick enough is one scenario that's glaringly bad for the coast. Another problem is dry-slotting.
  12. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. I gotta admit, this winter looks like a rickety bridge because of this and the very warm IOD.
  13. IntenseBlizzard2014
    I had a feeling it wasn't going to look good. The IOD doesn't look impressive for us. Nor does the NAO.
  14. IntenseBlizzard2014
    I'd say that up to 74 is more likely. Even in a super warm month like October of 2007 didn't have highs near 90 in the second half of October.
  15. IntenseBlizzard2014
    We really dodged a bullet. If Sub-Tropical Storm Melissa was 350 miles further west, we'd be talking about heavy rain and high winds with insane wave heights.
  16. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Lucky 10s.
  17. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Seriously though. The West Coast will chill out while the East will torch. The EURO says definitely to that.
  18. IntenseBlizzard2014
    That's will kick up a massive ridge for a few days.
  19. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. The atmosphere requires constant instability for tropical activity. The dry air is also a major problem.
  20. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. The next round of heat may max out in the low 90s, but nothing like a couple of weeks ago.
  21. IntenseBlizzard2014
    One ran on my bare leg and then scooted off my chair.
  22. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The heat is interfering with the network communications in the MTA subway systems.
  23. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. This is legit death heat level.
  24. IntenseBlizzard2014
    I remember this. I was in Hackensack, NJ at the time. My little 7-year-old mind was astounded by this event.
  25. IntenseBlizzard2014
    It's becoming increasingly clear that oppressively humid summers are here to stay.
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