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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    It's close at~800 which is why it flips to sleet on the p-type guesser
  2. rjvanals
    It’s colder which I like the 12z got DC to 32 this run only 29 at the warmest
  3. rjvanals
    Let’s hope the Canadian is right despite the much later start time
  4. rjvanals
    Puts a foot through Moco 9 inches DCA
  5. rjvanals
    Good hit
  6. rjvanals
    Looks good at hr 85
  7. rjvanals
    Some flurries here in Potomac
  8. rjvanals
    It's amazing how some posters delude themselves into thinking a storm 90+ hours out is a slam dunk
  9. rjvanals
    It's slower and north of 12Z on Pivotal but not a terrible result
  10. rjvanals
    It's slower than other guidance which gets the snow in here by sunset Sunday vs the GFS midnight start time so still some model wars
  11. rjvanals
    ICON would get snow in here before sunset on Sunday
  12. rjvanals
    I’d rather a few inches of snow to ice than a miss to the south. Give us moisture and I’ll take my chances
  13. rjvanals
    Looking at the sounding it doesn't look like there's a warm layer initially it's just not cold enough at the initial phase of the precip for nucleation (only -6C; need -8 at least) then we get a warm layer
  14. rjvanals
    Anything for the 1/10-1/11? Have Pivotal which is much slower
  15. rjvanals
    Euro gives us some Snow TV
  16. rjvanals
    Let's see what the Euro brings us
  17. rjvanals
    Let’s not spike the football until we have real not digital snow
  18. rjvanals
    10-11th is close to be being real good for us and it’s good to see a storm is showing up at this long range
  19. rjvanals
    Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th
  20. rjvanals
    Canadian is a long duration event which is good
  21. rjvanals
    The problem is at hr 87 we get a coastal low developing ~100 miles SW of where it was progged at hr 105 on the great Euro last night. This leads the low to be spinning on the southwest side of Newfoundland at hr 126 when the storm is approaching us vs the Northeast side like we saw last night at hr 144 which creates enough confluence to push the best snow ~100 miles south of what was shown last night
  22. rjvanals
    GFS shows a 1pm temp of 8 at DCA on the 11th I’ll take the over
  23. rjvanals
    Gets Atlanta close to zero in the LR with some serious cold across the country
  24. rjvanals
    I'll take this run let's see if can set something up behind it
  25. rjvanals
    Boundary layer is torched so more snow tv
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