AmericanWxFreak

Rippage in Columbia

Not at all, we have Queen RAP... HRRR is just bonus really

Oh, the RAP model, so mighty and bright, A beacon of accuracy, in winter's white night. When it whispers of snow, it's always right, A flurry of predictions, to our delight. While skeptics may doubt, and critics may jest, The RAP stands tall, above the rest. For when it forecasts snow, it's not a test, But a promise of winter, at its very best. So let others doubt, let them all frown, But when the RAP says snow, it's coming down. It's the Queen of the models, wearing its crown, Turning winter predictions, upside down. In a world of guesses, it's our guiding light, Especially when it turns our winters white. So here's to the RAP, our snowy knight, The best of the models, in winter's fight.

jesus, a 14 year old aged IPA?

So, so close to the goods... feels like were still in the game but man I wish we had a little more time.

Also heading to FL tomorrow to start a 2 week vacation, I just so happened to book a pre trip day of PTO for today. So happy lol

Low popped off NC coast

As of now, most guidance sees this as a snow beginning Friday AM and ending Friday PM.

Probably most of it lol - most models at 0z last night were painting 3-4 still

Very healthy dendrites under the good banding in HoCo

Are we forseeing daytime road stickage with this one or are we too marginal at the surface?

Feels like winds here in Columbia are just as strong as the other night.

Isn't it a blend of models? Isn't the blend of models getting a bit worse? Wouldn't that be the expected result of the blended output?

nervously awaits the "FOLKS"

P15 would be a jolly good time

TVS indicator on the stuff east of Fredericksburg

Sky just lit up with transformers blowing in the distance in downtown Columbia. Wild.

Fire and EMS dispatched to a home in Columbia for a downed tree into house - so it begins

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1225 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 DCZ001-MDZ013-016-504-506-VAZ053>055-057-527-100130- /O.UPG.KLWX.WI.Y.0001.240109T2000Z-240110T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.HW.W.0001.240109T2000Z-240110T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Charles- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, St. Charles, Waldorf, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Dahlgren, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 1225 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...In District of Columbia, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Prince Georges, Charles, Central and Southeast Montgomery and Central and Southeast Howard Counties. In Virginia, Fairfax, Stafford, King George and Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park Counties, and Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

I always sit back and giggle at people who don't understand the logic behinds these decisions. Its pretty clear cut to me. Glad these people aren't risk managers for a living

So is the general idea a swath of 1-3" of rain with some lollis under banding and along the ridges?

Yep, 2.3 magnitude quake NW of DC at 12:50am. https://x.com/LastQuake/status/1742064321184530496?s=20