madwx

Friday looking more and more interesting for S Wisconsin

some fiesty storms just passed through here. A pleasant surprise and am hoping for a repeat tomorrow

Man the pattern over N. America has been so amplified for the past month and a half.

dewpoint really mixed out today. Got down to 28 last hour

there is no scientific reason why the virus will be more deadly for young people in the future. In fact most diseases become less deadly as time goes on since the less deadly strains are more likely to spread. The 1918 influenza was abnormal in the fact that it became more deadly with the second wave

best summer climo

Down to 989.5 MSLP. should be a new June record for Madison

I think we need 990.2 to break the all time June record

That's definitely not the case in the western lakes. Summers have been markedly wetter. Even in the eastern lakes precip trends seems fairly flat. MSN summer rainfall trends above for reference

winds a steady 20 with gusts into the 30s now. first showers on the doorstep here.

Yeah the N/NW gusts behind the plains low are more impressive than the Cristobal winds right now. Must be great mixing conditions over there

all the CAMs have trended upward with rain in the Madison area this morning. The cirrus canopy is really overspreading the area now

based on my thoughts on how the shear will play out, I think the precip core for any cells will get shoved pretty far out of the way for any right moving cells. The strange backing with height is high up enough that it will really stretch out the updraft to the north, away from the track of the storm.. Think some days with nice VBV, except wonkier and probably really messy with low LCLs

both HRRRs have precip moving through S Wisconsin fairly quickly tomorrow, between 2-10, with a fairly convective look. Immediately afterwards winds turn to the SW and get very gusty into the overnight hours. The plains wave then moves eastward and that precip rolls in starting Wednesday morning. I'm looking at 3 periods for gusty winds tomorrow 1)ESE winds getting progressively gustier from around 9-2 tomorrow 2) any strong gusts brought down by convective features during the afternoon and evening 3) and perhaps the strongest winds behind the frontal feature after 10 pm.

snowing in Laramie, Wyoming right now if you thought our non-snow season wasn't short enough in the Midwest.

got 89'd here today. Feels like I'm living in Dayton

hi res models are on the east end of guidance and if they are correct we are going to get poured on

Definitely intrigued at the possibility of tornadoes in the NE quadrant of this

Euro trending faster and further west. Has it in SE Iowa on Tuesday evening now

hoping it comes through 12 hours earlier so we can have some convective potential with it. models are trending that way

Have we ever had tropical remnants go sub 980 in the Lakes?

yeah 12z Euro has below zero 850 temps as far south as northern Illinois by next Friday morning. woof

Yeah it has a heavy snowstorm breaking out in western Ontario on the back side of the remnants

we don't drought like we used to

storms blowing up quickly NE of Rochester, much further east that any CAMs had storms developing at this hour