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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. Getting some power plant effect snow in eastern Dane county from the plant up by Portage
  2. Madison is flirting with a top 10 warmest January of all time. Will need to average ~27.6 over the next 5 days to get in the top 10 and the point forecast has us averaging 27.7.
  3. Luckily we have a few (possibly) silver linings: 1) its not guaranteed yet that a SSW will occur, only half of the GEFS have a warming occurring in the next 2 weeks 2) Not all SSW are the same and depending on how the vortex gets split/the alignment of the blocking we may not get brutal cold 3) By the second half of May, when prime storm chase season is occurring, the weather patterns are not really connected to any SSW occurring in Feb/Mar
  4. Such a gloomy forecast for the upcoming week. It's been awhile since we've had such a cloudy stretch on this side of the lakes.
  5. Long range models indicating an increased chance of a SSW during the month of February. Defintely not set in stone but slightly concerning for people hoping for a warm early spring.
  6. we're in the middle of what looks to be a 6-10 hour gap in snowfall on the west side of Madison. Definitely some slight melting of snow occurring.
  7. 1.1" overnight but not accumulating that much on roads and sidewalks. Snow depth up to 6" this morning.
  8. Not sure how much we can add to the snowpack. things might compact as quickly as they accumulate and melting will be occurring during the daytime
  9. Snow depth this morning was 5". Will be interesting to see how much it will actually change over the next few days
  10. QPF numbers have been trending downward on the GFS with this system. Will be interesting to note this trend throughout the next couple days
  11. Got down to 0 last night. A couple chances at subzero lows the next two nights but this stretch is looking milder than it did a few days ago
  12. 5.2” here in MSN with a light glaze on top
  13. Rates are still good here and it’s nice and gusty out but some dry patches in the radar are showing up to the west. Hope the snow doesn’t shut off too soon
  14. Snow started 15 mins ago and it’s already moderate snow and accumulating nicely. Visibility is definitely below a mile
  15. Got down to 1 here this morning. Tying our lowest temp of the winter. Looks like a good chance to go below 0 Sunday thru Tuesday
  16. was spot on with my wave 1 call of 3.3" but I'm going to bust hard with wave 2. Looking more like an inch, maybe 2
  17. About 2” on the ground now. Back to sleet in Madison. Feeling good about my wave 1 call but not very good about tomorrow’s snow
  18. Snow/sleet/rain transition showing up nicely on radar
  19. Been snowing in Madison for about an hour now. Coming down at a very nice clip and snow accumulating nicely on top of the sleet layer
  20. Starting off as sleet here with a couple snowflakes mixed in.
  21. Precip about to start here. Final call of 3.3” with the first wave and 4.0” with the second wave
  22. it still gives over 6" in S Wi. Not giving up hope on this yet
  23. HRRR remains consistent bringing the heavy snow band through Iowa City to Madison tonight.
  24. Yeah not sure what to think of it. May be leaning more toward the CAMs because they can resolve all the convection occurring to the south but there is still more uncertainty at this point than I'd like.
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